Maine results thread.

[Eraserhead]

So it looks like CNN is actually going to do election night coverage for this, combining it with a report from CPAC and coverage of the straw poll there:

http://cnnpressroom.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/10/tune-in-cnn-covers-maine-caucuses-tomorrow-6-p-m-et/

Sounds good.

[Tender Branson]

I'll skip this, because I simply don't care about Maine ...

It's only slightly interesting if Paul wins.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

From what I've heard,

-Paul is going to sweep Sanford

-Romney is (probably) going to narrowly win Portland

Knowing that, I'm off to adjust my predictions

[Lambsbread]

Here's an image of the placeholder results:



EDIT: I checked the AP page and they have test results up. Mystery solved.

If the results actually turn out like this, I'll eat my own socks

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Here's an image of the placeholder results:



EDIT: I checked the AP page and they have test results up. Mystery solved.

If the results actually turn out like this, I'll eat my own socks

Eat my sock? I couldnt. I would be in a mental state similar to Charlie Manson if those are the results....

[Mr. Morden]

Here's a list of caucus times:

http://www.MaineGOP.com/2012/01/maine-g-o-p-2012-caucus-information/

It also says that results will be released at 6:20pm.  Looks like many/most of the caucuses already got started earlier today.  Any interesting results / reports on Twitter from today?

[Alcon]

Another update from the Paulites, with early Cumberland County looking strong for Romney and Rick Santorum rising modestly in late results:

Paul 433 (43%)
Romney 383 (38%)
Santorum 128 (13%)
Gingrich 64 (6%)
Other 4 (0%)

Of course, this is all ridiculousness and unrepresentative.  I'm still feeling Romney +5.

[Mr. Morden]

From a Paulite on Twitter:

paul wins androscoggin county! Paul 212, Romney 140, Santorum 130, Gingrich 12 #mecaucus

[Alcon]

From a Paulite on Twitter:

paul wins androscoggin county! Paul 212, Romney 140, Santorum 130, Gingrich 12 #mecaucus

Paul got 26% there in 2008, well above his statewide numbers, so not necessarily an amazing sign.  Interestingly, those Santorum numbers are higher than I'd expect (relative to Romney) in Androscoggin.

[Averroës Nix]

Wow - according to my spreadsheet, turnout in Androscoggin is 184% what it was in '08.  "Complete" totals from Aroostook and Knox on RP-supporter spreadsheet are both down slightly.

EDIT: Funny, Romney goes from winning 52% of Androscoggin in '08 to winning 28% in '12 - with one fewer vote.

[Eraserhead]

From a Paulite on Twitter:

paul wins androscoggin county! Paul 212, Romney 140, Santorum 130, Gingrich 12 #mecaucus

Great sign for Paul if accurate.

[tpfkaw]

Wow - according to my spreadsheet, turnout in Androscoggin is 184% what it was in '08.  "Complete" totals from Aroostook and Knox on RP-supporter spreadsheet are both down slightly.

EDIT: Funny, Romney goes from winning 52% of Androscoggin in '08 to winning 28% in '12 - with one fewer vote.

I'd be more skeptical of Twitter results than spreadsheet results, especially when you have wild swings in turnout like that.  Would be cool though.  Aroostook and Knox probably had some double-counted precincts.

[Torie]

Where is the Paulite twitter link you guys are plumbing?

[Alcon]

Where is the Paulite twitter link you guys are plumbing?

It's probably just some dude on Twitter.  The hashtag is #mecaucus.  I'm not seeing the tweet in question, though.

[RI]

Here's the tweet:

https://twitter.com/#!/LLStarks/status/168418420495360000

[Torie]

Where is the Paulite twitter link you guys are plumbing?

It's probably just some dude on Twitter.  The hashtag is #mecaucus.  I'm not seeing the tweet in question, though.

Thanks.

[tpfkaw]

Spreadsheet now has Androscoggin results, looks like the tweet was accurate, but incomplete (and the spreadsheet still says the results are partial!).

[RI]

The spreadsheet has more updated numbers from Androscoggin with Santorum beating Mitt (Should be Rick's best county).

Paul 262 (41.2%)
Santorum 188 (29.6%)
Romney 173 (27.2%)
Gingrich 13 (2.0%)

[Eraserhead]

The spreadsheet has more updated numbers from Androscoggin with Santorum beating Mitt (Should be Rick's best county).

Paul 262
Santorum 188
Romney 173
Gingrich 13

.... wut?

[RI]

The Lewiston area is super working class.

[Hash]

From a Paulite on Twitter:

paul wins androscoggin county! Paul 212, Romney 140, Santorum 130, Gingrich 12 #mecaucus

Paul got 26% there in 2008, well above his statewide numbers, so not necessarily an amazing sign.  Interestingly, those Santorum numbers are higher than I'd expect (relative to Romney) in Androscoggin.

I don't see why it's surprising that Androscoggin would be strong Frothy-land. He seems like a perfect candidate for a Catholic WWC county like that.

[tpfkaw]

Ugh, if Paul wins the media narrative will be all about not-Frothy's* "strong third."

*(don't want to be anti-pro-heterosexual!)

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Remind me, when do the Maine results "officially" start coming in?

[MaxQue]

6:20PM, Eastern.

[bgwah]

Hmm, haven't changed my predictions since Monday. I'll probably regret that. lol.