I was going to create a topic about this last weekend... But I forgot
Well, Chacón is talking right now. Rubalcaba did the same before.
For the moment, I'd say there's no clear favourite (with a slim Chacón lead, I'd guess). But she's shouting a lot and he was really relaxed.
I'd give Rubalcaba a B+ and Chacón a B-.
Remember, Rubalcaba is the voice of the experience, the former vicepresident with Zapatero, Minister of the Interior... And of Education with Felipe Gonzalez.
Chacón is the voice of the change. She's the former minister of Defense with ZP.
There are 956 delegates who have to chose between Alfredo and Carme. Andalucia's got 25% of them.
Asturias, Cantabria, Euskadi, Aragon, Castilla y León and Balears are heavily supporting Rubalcaba.
Catalunya is heavily going to Chacón.
Valencia and Madrid will go to Chacón by a good margin.
Extremadura and Galicia are probably for Rubalcaba by a good margin.
Castilla la Mancha and Andalucia may go by a silm margim to Chacón.
La Rioja, Murcia and Canarias... Nobody knows.