SC PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Newt up almost ten points
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  SC PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Newt up almost ten points
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Author Topic: SC PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Newt up almost ten points  (Read 3409 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: January 20, 2012, 10:24:38 PM »

New Poll: South Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-01-20

Summary:
Gingrich:
37%
Romney:
28%
Santorum:
16%
Paul:
14%
Other:
0%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: January 20, 2012, 10:25:30 PM »
« Edited: January 20, 2012, 10:27:19 PM by realisticidealist »

Among interviews taken today, Newt led 40-26. Those who watched last night's debate are 46-23 in favor of Gingrich.

51% don't care about Gingrich's marriage history.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: January 20, 2012, 10:26:11 PM »

Acceptable
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #3 on: January 20, 2012, 10:26:24 PM »

This is the stuff dreams are made of.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: January 20, 2012, 10:27:18 PM »

And only 31% think the "open marriage" allegations are true. So probably just Romney's supporters.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #5 on: January 20, 2012, 10:28:08 PM »
« Edited: January 20, 2012, 10:34:56 PM by realisticidealist »

Newt has a shot at breaking 40% in SC. Also, I'm liking Santorum ahead of Paul.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #6 on: January 20, 2012, 10:52:06 PM »

35-40% for Gingrich will compel Santorum to drop out quickly, thus solidifying the Not-Romney vote behind one candidate.

Yes please
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #7 on: January 20, 2012, 11:09:29 PM »

Also, I'm not liking Santorum ahead of Paul.
Fixed.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: January 20, 2012, 11:10:20 PM »

Christ, Romney has turned into a joke candidate.
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Marston
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« Reply #9 on: January 20, 2012, 11:11:15 PM »

The only thing that's been pretty constant are Romney's numbers. I think they've been like 29-28-29-28.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #10 on: January 20, 2012, 11:13:54 PM »

Oh man. Do I put >30% or >40% on the predictions?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: January 20, 2012, 11:24:34 PM »

Oh man. Do I put >30% or >40% on the predictions?

Goddamnit, that's a good question.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #12 on: January 20, 2012, 11:26:02 PM »

I won't mind voting for Barack. He's a cool guy anyway.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #13 on: January 20, 2012, 11:39:56 PM »

Guess I'll have to go back to supporting Obama. Hopefully Gingrich's loss will be the knockout blow to the GOP, which has become a disgrace.
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Volrath50
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« Reply #14 on: January 21, 2012, 12:15:59 AM »

Damn, if Newt breaks 40%, he's going into Florida with huge, huge momentum. Florida was one of his best states when he surged the first time, too...
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J. J.
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« Reply #15 on: January 21, 2012, 01:06:16 AM »

If it holds, Newt has the Mo' (and I'll probably vote Obama).
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memphis
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« Reply #16 on: January 21, 2012, 01:51:26 AM »

What the hell could a conservative like about Gingrich? He's every awful stereotype for the Republican Party. A hypocrtical blowhard who makes Bill Clinton's family life look like Ward Cleaver's. How is Santorum not running away with this?
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DrScholl
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« Reply #17 on: January 21, 2012, 02:00:07 AM »

The open marriage reveal may have actually done Gingrich a favor, plenty of conservatives see it as an unfair attack on a conservative candidate and get fired up to get in his corner.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #18 on: January 21, 2012, 04:55:36 AM »

Hey Lief, how many times did you have to change underwear the last three days? Wink
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #19 on: January 21, 2012, 05:23:58 AM »

Christ, Romney the GOP has turned into a joke candidate party.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #20 on: January 21, 2012, 12:58:42 PM »

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #21 on: January 22, 2012, 02:34:23 AM »

Most accurate poll it seems, especially when the undecideds are factored in and only the Friday night sample (40-26) is taken into account.

On the other hand you have ARG with 40-26, which is always suspected of copying the numbers from other pollsters and they got the Santorum/Paul ranking wrong.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #22 on: January 22, 2012, 02:57:17 AM »

Most accurate poll it seems, especially when the undecideds are factored in and only the Friday night sample (40-26) is taken into account.

On the other hand you have ARG with 40-26, which is always suspected of copying the numbers from other pollsters and they got the Santorum/Paul ranking wrong.

What were the Paul and Santorum numbers from PPP for Friday night alone?

In any case, the trend in this primary season seems to be that late momentum is really important, and so one should probably lean heavily on whichever polls were in the field last, regardless of how good the polling firm is.

In that respect, robo-pollsters like PPP have an advantage, because they have quick turnaround times, and can run one night polls with relative ease.
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