SC PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Gingrich maintains six-point lead
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Author Topic: SC PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Gingrich maintains six-point lead  (Read 1993 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: January 19, 2012, 10:02:56 PM »
New Poll: South Carolina President by Public Policy Polling on 2012-01-19

Summary:
Gingrich:
35%
Romney:
29%
Paul:
15%
Santorum:
15%
Other:
1%
Undecided:
5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2012, 10:04:15 PM »
This is the second half of their poll, this time without Perry.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2012, 10:05:50 PM »
basically looks like the first half.
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King
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« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2012, 10:06:34 PM »
If Gingrich can fight like this in SC, he can come back in 10 days of Florida.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2012, 10:09:22 PM »
Newt's lead with evangelicals hasn't eroded today at all.

And, very good news:

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greenforest32
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« Reply #5 on: January 19, 2012, 10:21:43 PM »
Do the anti-Romney forces a favor and drop out Santorum.

Even Perry bested you in this regard.
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J. J.
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« Reply #6 on: January 19, 2012, 10:26:15 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 19, 2012, 10:04:15 PM
This is the second half of their poll, this time without Perry.

Newt should be up then, shouldn't he?
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Alcon
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« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2012, 10:43:38 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on January 19, 2012, 10:26:15 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 19, 2012, 10:04:15 PM
This is the second half of their poll, this time without Perry.

Newt should be up then, shouldn't he?

Conventional wisdom and reality are not always the same.
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King
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« Reply #8 on: January 19, 2012, 11:00:07 PM »

J.J. doesn't believe in either.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: January 19, 2012, 11:02:30 PM »
538 has breakdowns by night. Tonight's numbers, with change from last night in parentheses:

Gingrich 36% (+2)
Romney 30% (+2)
Santorum 16% (+2)
Paul 15% (±0)

So it looks like Perry's support split evenly.
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J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: January 20, 2012, 02:10:56 AM »
Quote from: Alcon on January 19, 2012, 10:43:38 PM
Quote from: J. J. on January 19, 2012, 10:26:15 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 19, 2012, 10:04:15 PM
This is the second half of their poll, this time without Perry.

Newt should be up then, shouldn't he?

Conventional wisdom and reality are not always the same.

He's still the most popular second choice and he's probably closer to Perry, ideologically, than Paul or Romney.  I wasn't Gingrich to get all of Perry's vote, but I'd be expecting him to get more of it.
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Alcon
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« Reply #11 on: January 20, 2012, 02:18:12 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on January 20, 2012, 02:10:56 AM
Quote from: Alcon on January 19, 2012, 10:43:38 PM
Quote from: J. J. on January 19, 2012, 10:26:15 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 19, 2012, 10:04:15 PM
This is the second half of their poll, this time without Perry.

Newt should be up then, shouldn't he?

Conventional wisdom and reality are not always the same.

He's still the most popular second choice and he's probably closer to Perry, ideologically, than Paul or Romney.  I wasn't Gingrich to get all of Perry's vote, but I'd be expecting him to get more of it.

Right, and I think PPP's "second preference" polling is more likely to be reflective of reality than your intuition, so I don't consider this result at all surprising.
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J. J.
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« Reply #12 on: January 20, 2012, 09:43:13 AM »
Quote from: Alcon on January 20, 2012, 02:18:12 AM
Quote from: J. J. on January 20, 2012, 02:10:56 AM
Quote from: Alcon on January 19, 2012, 10:43:38 PM
Quote from: J. J. on January 19, 2012, 10:26:15 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 19, 2012, 10:04:15 PM
This is the second half of their poll, this time without Perry.

Newt should be up then, shouldn't he?

Conventional wisdom and reality are not always the same.

He's still the most popular second choice and he's probably closer to Perry, ideologically, than Paul or Romney.  I wasn't Gingrich to get all of Perry's vote, but I'd be expecting him to get more of it.

Right, and I think PPP's "second preference" polling is more likely to be reflective of reality than your intuition, so I don't consider this result at all surprising.

My intuition seems to be showing up in the polling.  Maybe the poll didn't catch it, or maybe Gingrich has lost overall momentum.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #13 on: January 20, 2012, 09:49:58 AM »
are any more polls due out today or tomorrow?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #14 on: January 20, 2012, 11:13:09 AM »
PPP has another tracking poll from SC out today.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #15 on: January 20, 2012, 11:30:51 AM »
I will be reporting live from the Reverend Cain/Stephen Colbert event and will gage his support for the upcoming primary.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #16 on: January 20, 2012, 06:35:48 PM »
PPP tweeted about 10 minutes ago that Gingrich has about the same lead today as he has had the last few days.
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J. J.
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« Reply #17 on: January 20, 2012, 07:04:44 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 20, 2012, 06:35:48 PM
PPP tweeted about 10 minutes ago that Gingrich has about the same lead today as he has had the last few days.

"About" might be the key.  Is Newt surging, holding, or falling back?  If the momentum continues, he will win.  If he's falling, how fast?
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Marston
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« Reply #18 on: January 20, 2012, 09:47:01 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on January 20, 2012, 07:04:44 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 20, 2012, 06:35:48 PM
PPP tweeted about 10 minutes ago that Gingrich has about the same lead today as he has had the last few days.

"About" might be the key.  Is Newt surging, holding, or falling back?  If the momentum continues, he will win.  If he's falling, how fast?

To answer your question:

"Newt posted his best numbers of our 3 day field period tonight"
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: January 20, 2012, 09:50:22 PM »
Quote from: Marston on January 20, 2012, 09:47:01 PM
Quote from: J. J. on January 20, 2012, 07:04:44 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on January 20, 2012, 06:35:48 PM
PPP tweeted about 10 minutes ago that Gingrich has about the same lead today as he has had the last few days.

"About" might be the key.  Is Newt surging, holding, or falling back?  If the momentum continues, he will win.  If he's falling, how fast?

To answer your question:

"Newt posted his best numbers of our 3 day field period tonight"



beautiful
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