Pelosi aiming to net 35 seats
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  Pelosi aiming to net 35 seats
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Miles
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« Reply #25 on: January 22, 2012, 08:24:32 PM »

Gerrymandering cost us the House, IMO.

Um? http://cookpolitical.com/node/10516

Not net change with the submitted maps. It's easy to cry wolf when the Republicans did control most of the decision process, but we got lucky with those nonpartisan commissions. We got generous maps in California and Arizona. Will probably pick up the new seat in Nevada as well.

He has NC as D minus 3.5 seats.

'pisses me off every time I see that.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #26 on: January 22, 2012, 09:20:32 PM »

Gerrymandering cost us the House, IMO.

Um? http://cookpolitical.com/node/10516

Not net change with the submitted maps. It's easy to cry wolf when the Republicans did control most of the decision process, but we got lucky with those nonpartisan commissions. We got generous maps in California and Arizona. Will probably pick up the new seat in Nevada as well.

He has NC as D minus 3.5 seats.

'pisses me off every time I see that.

Yeah, we got screwed there. At least we screwed the Republicans in Illinois.
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Frodo
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« Reply #27 on: January 22, 2012, 10:50:07 PM »

If Gingrich is the nominee, Democrats could gain 40+ seats. 

Are you sure we shouldn't sit this one out and just try again in 2014?

Or 2018?  Tongue
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #28 on: January 22, 2012, 11:00:07 PM »

If Gingrich is the nominee, Democrats could gain 40+ seats. 

Are you sure we shouldn't sit this one out and just try again in 2014?

Or 2018?  Tongue

Then the Republicans might come back in Neo-Queen Serenity's first midterm or something. Best to just wait until Doomsday so we can run FDR again.
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #29 on: January 25, 2012, 11:49:14 PM »

If Ron Paul or Mitt Romney is the nominee, then nearly all GOP congressmen are safe, and he GOP could net 20 seats (if it is Paul, the RNC will spend all its time on the congressional races, as they could'nt care less who won in such a scenario.)
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greenforest32
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« Reply #30 on: January 26, 2012, 12:28:20 AM »


Republicans will be aiming to protect the seats they won in 2010.
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morgieb
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« Reply #31 on: January 26, 2012, 07:08:56 AM »

Gerrymandering cost us the House, IMO.

Um? http://cookpolitical.com/node/10516

No net change with the submitted maps. It's easy to cry wolf when the Republicans did control most of the decision process, but we got lucky with those nonpartisan commissions. We got generous maps in California and Arizona. Will probably pick up the new seat in Nevada as well.

That is true, but I also believe it's strengthened (?) marginal seats for Republicans.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #32 on: January 27, 2012, 12:43:46 PM »


Republicans will be aiming to protect the seats they won in 2010.


It will be difficult for Republicans to keep those seats that they have gained in the House:

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Much can change in eight months... and it is probably bad for political survival for a Republican in an R+5 district to vote as if his district is R+40. 





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Dancing with Myself
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« Reply #33 on: January 27, 2012, 01:14:36 PM »

I think they Dems will gain some seats but will not get the house back. Sort of like with the house during the Clinton years
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