Rasmussen: Cain and Romney tied for 1st
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Author Topic: Rasmussen: Cain and Romney tied for 1st  (Read 2562 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 13, 2011, 12:56:43 PM »

29% Cain
29% Romney
10% Gingrich
  9% Perry
  5% Paul
  4% Bachmann
  2% Huntsman
  2% Santorum
  3% Someone else
  7% Undecided

In a two-way race, 43% would prefer Cain and 42% Romney. Cain leads Perry 54% to 29% in a two-man match and Romney leads Perry 54% to 30%. 

Regardless of who they want to win, 51% expect Romney will eventually become the GOP nominee. Seventeen percent (17%) think Cain will win the nomination and 13% pick Perry.

If nominated, 80% believe Romney would be at least somewhat likely to beat President Obama in the general election. Seventy-two percent (72%) hold that view of Cain and 67% say the same about Perry.

Cain draws support from a plurality (44%) of Tea Party voters, while a plurality (32%) of non-Tea Party members supports Romney in the GOP primary race.

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Evangelical Christian voters and 34% of Catholic voters prefer Cain. Romney leads among Protestant voters with 32% of the vote.

...

The survey of 1,000 Likely GOP Primary Voters was conducted on October 12, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. Likely GOP Primary Voters include both Republicans and unaffiliated voters likely to vote in a GOP Primary. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/election_2012_republican_presidential_primary
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NHI
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2011, 01:01:17 PM »

Cain, despite what he insist is still the flavor of the month. Mitt Romney is going to be the nominee.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2011, 01:04:33 PM »

Cain, despite what he insist is still the flavor of the month. Mitt Romney is going to be the nominee.

Well, if Cain can manage to do well in the next 2 months and Romney has a surprise implosion in the early NH primary in Mid-December, I wouldn't be so sure anymore ... Wink

But in general I would agree, Romney has the better cards.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2011, 01:46:42 PM »

Well, at least now the "Romney can't get over 25%, blah blah blah" argument can be put to rest.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2011, 01:58:35 PM »

Well, at least now the "Romney can't get over 25%, blah blah blah" argument can be put to rest.

To be replaced with the "Romney is losing to Herman Cain, hah hah hah" argument.
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2011, 06:41:19 PM »

Well, at least now the "Romney can't get over 25%, blah blah blah" argument can be put to rest.

Actually it's 30% -trollface-
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change08
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2011, 06:47:21 PM »

Well, at least now the "Romney can't get over 25%, blah blah blah" argument can be put to rest.

Actually it's 30% -trollface-

Off-topic, but is that Mitt Romney at the front in your sig? Spitting image
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2011, 07:38:43 PM »

Well, at least now the "Romney can't get over 25%, blah blah blah" argument can be put to rest.

Actually it's 30% -trollface-

Off-topic, but is that Mitt Romney at the front in your sig? Spitting image
Yup that indeed is Mitt Romney.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2011, 08:31:26 PM »

Well it is more about averages. In June Rasmussen has Romney at 33%, but his avg at the time was still 25%. (RCP average ). It is currently 22.7%.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2011, 07:44:56 AM »

The question isn't whether Mitt Romney has what it takes to get over 30%. The question is where in the sweet merciful F are the votes going to come from for Herman Cain to get over 30%?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2011, 07:49:14 AM »

The question isn't whether Mitt Romney has what it takes to get over 30%. The question is where in the sweet merciful F are the votes going to come from for Herman Cain to get over 30%?

Deranged teabag people?
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2011, 07:58:10 AM »

The question isn't whether Mitt Romney has what it takes to get over 30%. The question is where in the sweet merciful F are the votes going to come from for Herman Cain to get over 30%?

Deranged teabag people?

There aren't enough of them.
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #12 on: October 14, 2011, 01:42:17 PM »

The question isn't whether Mitt Romney has what it takes to get over 30%. The question is where in the sweet merciful F are the votes going to come from for Herman Cain to get over 30%?

Deranged teabag people?

There aren't enough of them.
I think they are. Most that are going for Bachmann, Perry and Newt are those types.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #13 on: October 20, 2011, 09:16:58 AM »

Well it is more about averages. In June Rasmussen has Romney at 33%, but his avg at the time was still 25%. (RCP average ). It is currently 22.7%.
Romney is now over the 25% mark.
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NHI
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2011, 09:50:26 AM »

Well, at least now the "Romney can't get over 25%, blah blah blah" argument can be put to rest.
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