Next BIG Swing State? (user search)
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  Next BIG Swing State? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What state has the potential to become the BIG state in 2008?
#1
Wisconsin
 
#2
Iowa
 
#3
New Mexico
 
#4
Nevada
 
#5
Pennsylvania
 
#6
Virginia
 
#7
Colorado
 
#8
Florida....again....
 
#9
Ohio....again....
 
#10
Other(Please state)
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 85

Author Topic: Next BIG Swing State?  (Read 8881 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


« on: December 25, 2004, 11:09:27 AM »

Different parts of PA flip around on a coin. Spilt tickets, freak turnouts, protest voting, single issue voting... Pennsylvania is the master of them all (I'm about to start an analysis of the State House elections. Usually very interesting).
Predicting swings for them is stupid, predicting long term trends is insane.

One reason is that most large counties in PA are fairly polarised (Westmoreland and Montgomery are good examples of this, BTW)
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