zorkpolitics
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,188
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« on: December 22, 2004, 06:06:05 PM » |
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Based on Bush's margin of victory this year, CO, FL, VA are likely safe for 2008. IA, NM, NV are too smal to count as the big swing state.
So of the two big states left (PA and OH), Bush margin in OH decreased 1.5%, even though his nationwide margin increased 3%, thus if the trend continues OH will be even closer next time and will still the big swing state.
Bush did improve his marging in PA by 2%, but that still is less than his nationwide 3% gain, so its unlikley PA will be closer than OH in 2008.
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