National Tracking Poll Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 05:58:52 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  National Tracking Poll Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 39 40 41 42 43 [44] 45 46 47 48 49 ... 77
Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 309183 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1075 on: October 12, 2012, 03:46:25 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Voter on October 12, 2012, 03:31:40 PM

That poll actually contains some data from today, so if one were to read too much into this...then BIDEN BUMP!  Not that I believe that is the case

The Reuters write-up seemed to be pretty pro-Biden, but yeah it's too early to know anything really.
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,356
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1076 on: October 12, 2012, 03:48:54 PM »
I think the Democrats will get a small bump from this debate, not from swing voters, but Democrats moving from RV to LV.

This debate was about enthusiasm pumping, which Obama's dead performance last week killed what was building from the convention.
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,721


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1077 on: October 12, 2012, 04:00:52 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Voter on October 12, 2012, 03:31:40 PM
That poll actually contains some data from today, so if one were to read too much into this...then BIDEN BUMP!  Not that I believe that is the case

Considering that almost all of the polling from yesterday was pre-debate (except for a handful of interviews on the west coast), that's doubtful.
Logged
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,208
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1078 on: October 13, 2012, 03:48:52 AM »
RAND Poll, October 12th

Obama-  48.75% (+.88)
Romney- 45.65% (-.50)

They also published results for the Big 3.
In Ohio
Obama - 39.01% (-.92)
Romney- 58.21% (+.89)

In Florida
Obama - 47.94% (+.IDK)
Romney- 44.71% (-2.96)

In Pennsylvania
Obama- 51.39% (+3.37)
Romney-45.71% (-2.31)
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1079 on: October 13, 2012, 03:57:57 AM »
Um... is that Ohio number right?
Logged
TrapperHawk
Rookie
**
Posts: 106
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1080 on: October 13, 2012, 04:01:30 AM »

Yeah, I was about to say the same thing. Is it supposed to be Obama: 49.01% and Romney: 48.21%? That would make far more sense.
Logged
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,208
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1081 on: October 13, 2012, 04:02:42 AM »
Quote from: TrapperHawk on October 13, 2012, 04:01:30 AM

Yeah, I was about to say the same thing. Is it supposed to be Obama: 49.01% and Romney: 48.21%? That would make far more sense.
Weird huh? They actually had Romney ahead during mid-late September when Obama was surging. It is actually 39.01.
Logged
TrapperHawk
Rookie
**
Posts: 106
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1082 on: October 13, 2012, 04:13:52 AM »
Quote from: Clinton1996 "Sec. of Explaining Stuff" on October 13, 2012, 04:02:42 AM
Quote from: TrapperHawk on October 13, 2012, 04:01:30 AM

Yeah, I was about to say the same thing. Is it supposed to be Obama: 49.01% and Romney: 48.21%? That would make far more sense.
Weird huh? They actually had Romney ahead during mid-late September when Obama was surging. It is actually 39.01.

That is odd. Obama losing, and Romney gaining, a point sounds about right. But Obama only getting 39%... yeah. Strange sample there.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1083 on: October 13, 2012, 05:29:47 AM »
Out of 3500 people nationwide in their tracking poll, how many are going to be in Ohio? About 130. Now what has everybody been ever telling you about tiny subsamples?
Logged
Umengus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,478
Belgium


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1084 on: October 13, 2012, 11:42:39 AM »
Rasmussen:

Romney: 49 (+1)
Omabam: 48 (+1)
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,489
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1085 on: October 13, 2012, 11:48:15 AM »
Quote from: Minion of Midas on October 13, 2012, 05:29:47 AM
Out of 3500 people nationwide in their tracking poll, how many are going to be in Ohio? About 130. Now what has everybody been ever telling you about tiny subsamples?

Yep. Obama probably isn't leading in Florida at the moment either...
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1086 on: October 13, 2012, 12:09:25 PM »
Gallup (likely):

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  47, u
Logged
Reds4
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 789


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1087 on: October 13, 2012, 12:11:46 PM »
Obama did gain a point on registered voters screen. Seems like a big Romney night dropped off today though, so I don't think this was a bad showing for Romney.

Quote from: J. J. on October 13, 2012, 12:09:25 PM
Gallup (likely):

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  47, u
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1088 on: October 13, 2012, 02:51:45 PM »
IBD/TIPP is unchanged from yesterday, with Obama still leading by 0.7%.
Logged
Joe Republic
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,084
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1089 on: October 13, 2012, 02:56:01 PM »
Quote from: Minion of Midas on October 13, 2012, 05:29:47 AM
Out of 3500 people nationwide in their tracking poll, how many are going to be in Ohio? About 130. Now what has everybody been ever telling you about tiny subsamples?

It must be accurate though; the results are at two decimal places!
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,489
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1090 on: October 13, 2012, 11:05:30 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 13, 2012, 12:09:25 PM
Gallup (likely):

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  47, u

Gallup (registered):

Obama: 49, +1

Romney: 46, u
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1091 on: October 14, 2012, 12:22:24 AM »
Quote from: Lief on October 13, 2012, 02:51:45 PM
IBD/TIPP is unchanged from yesterday, with Obama still leading by 0.7%.

Obama has slashed the Independent deficit from 25 (LOL) to 8 in the latest release ...
Logged
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1092 on: October 14, 2012, 11:33:36 AM »
RAND

Obama-49.1
Romney-45.34
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1093 on: October 14, 2012, 11:43:16 AM »
Rasmussen:

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  47, -1
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1094 on: October 14, 2012, 12:18:22 PM »
I think it's time to see some national polls again.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1095 on: October 14, 2012, 12:20:13 PM »

Gallup (likely):

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  47, u
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,680
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1096 on: October 14, 2012, 12:38:36 PM »
So RAND, Reuters and IBD have the debate bounce fading, but Ras and Gallup have no change.  Interesting.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1097 on: October 14, 2012, 01:07:22 PM »
IBD/TIPP:

Obama: 46.7%
Romney: 46.0%

No change in the margin (0.7%) since yesterday.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1098 on: October 14, 2012, 02:37:57 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on October 14, 2012, 12:38:36 PM
So RAND, Reuters and IBD have the debate bounce fading, but Ras and Gallup have no change.  Interesting.

There was bobbing around on Gallup's registered voter numbers.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1099 on: October 14, 2012, 06:11:55 PM »
Ipsos/Reuters
Obama 46% (+1)
Romney 45% (-1)

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/14/us-usa-campaign-debate-idUSBRE89D0IW20121014?feedType=RSS&feedName=politicsNews&utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter&dlvrit=574655
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 39 40 41 42 43 [44] 45 46 47 48 49 ... 77  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 11 queries.