National Tracking Poll Thread
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Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 309500 times)
Sbane
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« Reply #675 on: September 17, 2012, 03:30:04 PM »

I wouldn't put it beyond Razzy to be trolling us right now. Before the election his polls will be more or less accurate.
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Umengus
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« Reply #676 on: September 17, 2012, 04:04:42 PM »

What states does Rasmussen consider 'swing' states?

The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin

Since Obama leads in all these states, Scott proves once again he's a troll.

Romney leads in NC.
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You have just lost all credibility as a poster.

LOL
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #677 on: September 17, 2012, 04:50:12 PM »

Ipsos/Reuters: Obama +5

LV
Obama 48
Romney 43

Their last poll was from last Thursday which had Obama 48/Romney 41. Don't know if this is still a daily tracker or a 'periodic tracker'
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King
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« Reply #678 on: September 17, 2012, 06:39:13 PM »
« Edited: September 17, 2012, 06:41:24 PM by King »

You really start to see the power of Rasmussen whenever you see any GOP pundit on TV. Whenever someone talks about the polls and how Romney is losing they always say "well the Rasmussen poll shows...."  On Real Time with Ball Maher some GOPer started that and then everyone just started laughing at him. Of course it was a liberal group but even the GOPer seemed half-heated about the whole thing.

Ras is not the only pollster to give a tied race. Answer in november.

It's good business to call this election tied.  The press in September 1984 was calling that election "still close" and polls were being released that showed it that way.  The race was never in doubt.

I wouldn't put it beyond Razzy to be trolling us right now. Before the election his polls will be more or less accurate.

Scotty does favorable Republican numbers so Republicans and FOX will buy the results from him, but then readjusts the weighted model for the final polls so that why he can claim to be accurate, too.  That accuracy seal of approval, though he misfired on it a bit in 2010, makes the next cycle's favorable Republican numbers seem that much more valuable.
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J. J.
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« Reply #679 on: September 17, 2012, 07:04:30 PM »

What states does Rasmussen consider 'swing' states?

The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin

Since Obama leads in all these states, Scott proves once again he's a troll.

Well, we don't recent polls in all of them.  It is possible that Romney is surging in one (or several smaller ones), and the rest are static, or decreasing slightly.
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #680 on: September 18, 2012, 12:07:13 PM »

Gallup's 7 day rolling average of REGISTERED voters has the race exactly back where it was on Tuesday, before the start of the DNC.

Obama: 47% (-1)
Romney: 46% (+1)
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J. J.
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« Reply #681 on: September 18, 2012, 12:56:43 PM »

What states does Rasmussen consider 'swing' states?

The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin

Since Obama leads in all these states, Scott proves once again he's a troll.

Well, we don't recent polls in all of them.  It is possible that Romney is surging in one (or several smaller ones), and the rest are static, or decreasing slightly.

Romney is showing a lead in two, NC and CO, in some polls.  PA has shown a drop (11 down to 9) on some polls.  The rest could be just a tightening with better numbers in 2-3 states.
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Umengus
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« Reply #682 on: September 18, 2012, 01:11:13 PM »

Gallup's 7 day rolling average of REGISTERED voters has the race exactly back where it was on Tuesday, before the start of the DNC.

Obama: 47% (-1)
Romney: 46% (+1)

The race is over
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #683 on: September 18, 2012, 01:13:40 PM »

Irony alert, Obama polling at 47% at Gallup, Romney polling at 47% at Rasmussen.

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #684 on: September 18, 2012, 01:20:39 PM »

It's actually 48-48 today on Rasmussen with leaners.

Don't know why RCP refuses to post these leaner numbers instead of the leaner-less numbers.

Maybe because Romney is ahead with the latter and it's a tie with the former ?
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Umengus
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« Reply #685 on: September 18, 2012, 01:37:05 PM »

It's actually 48-48 today on Rasmussen with leaners.

Don't know why RCP refuses to post these leaner numbers instead of the leaner-less numbers.

Maybe because Romney is ahead with the latter and it's a tie with the former ?

because others don't push the leaners yet...
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mondale84
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« Reply #686 on: September 18, 2012, 01:49:27 PM »

It's actually 48-48 today on Rasmussen with leaners.

Don't know why RCP refuses to post these leaner numbers instead of the leaner-less numbers.

Maybe because Romney is ahead with the latter and it's a tie with the former ?

Because RCP is a right-wing hack website.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #687 on: September 18, 2012, 02:20:52 PM »

Now we just have to wait for the 47% deluge!
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Badger
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« Reply #688 on: September 18, 2012, 03:11:34 PM »

What states does Rasmussen consider 'swing' states?

The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin

Since Obama leads in all these states, Scott proves once again he's a troll.

Romney leads in NC. CO, WI, NV, VA, OH, FL are tied. Ok for the rest.

Huh?
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mondale84
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« Reply #689 on: September 18, 2012, 04:20:08 PM »

What states does Rasmussen consider 'swing' states?

The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin

Since Obama leads in all these states, Scott proves once again he's a troll.

Romney leads in NC. CO, WI, NV, VA, OH, FL are tied. Ok for the rest.

Huh?

Ignore him. He's trolling.
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afleitch
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« Reply #690 on: September 18, 2012, 04:48:32 PM »

The RAND American Life Panel - 17/09

Obama 48.25
Romney 44.87
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #691 on: September 18, 2012, 04:52:45 PM »

The RAND American Life Panel - 17/09

Obama 48.25
Romney 44.87

So even the Objectivists have Obama ahead? Tongue
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #692 on: September 18, 2012, 04:55:32 PM »

The RAND American Life Panel - 17/09

Obama 48.25
Romney 44.87

So even the Objectivists have Obama ahead? Tongue

The RAND Corporation began life as an Air Force think tank during the Cold War. It stands for 'Research and Development'.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #693 on: September 18, 2012, 04:57:50 PM »

The RAND American Life Panel - 17/09

Obama 48.25
Romney 44.87

So even the Objectivists have Obama ahead? Tongue

The RAND Corporation began life as an Air Force think tank during the Cold War. It stands for 'Research and Development'.

I figured....still a tad unfortunate though.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #694 on: September 18, 2012, 06:35:40 PM »

Ipsos/Reuters: Obama +4

LV
Obama 47 (-1)
Romney 43

They also have this on Libya/Embassy thing
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J. J.
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« Reply #695 on: September 19, 2012, 01:21:01 PM »

Gallup:

Obama:  47%, u

Romney:  46%, u
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J. J.
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« Reply #696 on: September 19, 2012, 01:28:02 PM »

Rasmussen:

Obama: 46%

Romney: 47%

With leaners:  48/48
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #697 on: September 19, 2012, 05:06:08 PM »

Ipsos/Reuters: Obama +5

LV
Obama 48 (+1)
Romney 43
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afleitch
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« Reply #698 on: September 19, 2012, 05:09:30 PM »

The RAND American Life Panel - 18/09

Obama 48.78
Romney 44.4
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #699 on: September 19, 2012, 05:11:02 PM »

That is an all time Obama high and largest lead for the RAND poll.
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