2012 Republican Primary Predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: 2012 Republican Primary Predictions  (Read 31005 times)
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« on: September 09, 2011, 04:34:58 PM »

Thank you Dave! Smiley
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2011, 03:53:35 PM »

And the compiled map now has Gingrich winning Missouri, a state where he isn't even on the ballot.

Come on guys, we're supposed to be the informed ones. Wink
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2011, 09:56:11 PM »

And the compiled map now has Gingrich winning Missouri, a state where he isn't even on the ballot.

Come on guys, we're supposed to be the informed ones. Wink

Rick Perry is still winning Texas and was winning most of the South until a couple days ago.
That was only because people were lazy and hadn't updated their predictions. It's been concrete now for a while he won't be on the ballot, and in that same time, he's taken Missouri on the map.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2012, 03:45:12 PM »

We all saw how far Gingrich dropped once the negativity hit him in Iowa. From early to mid-December, Gingrich's lead in South Carolina went from around 20 points to 12, according to Insider Advantage. At this point, his lead is probably smaller than that, and considering he probably won't have strong (Top 3) showings in either Iowa or New Hampshire, as well as his lack of finances, I have a hard time seeing him win South Carolina, thus the nomination. It's going to be an interesting battle in South Carolina, to say the least. Wink
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #4 on: January 08, 2012, 01:08:27 PM »

No! No! No! I got my two points, and I'm not sharing. Angry
Amen. Yes, it was a very close race, practically a toss-up, but the fact remains that Romney received more votes than any other candidate, and those who predicted that it would happen should be "rewarded" for their prediction.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #5 on: January 10, 2012, 08:51:35 PM »

Looks like I will be continuing on my quest for a perfect prediction map. I was one of 23, but I'd bet a couple had Romney at 40%. If this is a 50-state sweep like some suspect, it now comes down to a battle of which of us can nail %'s the best. Wink
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