IA-PPP: Perry has a small lead, Paul with strong numbers

[Mehmentum]

Meh, Bachmann has hardly collapsed in these numbers, especially without Palin. She's basically tied with Perry and Romney, and Perry is no doubt enjoying an announcement bounce of sorts. She's still definitely in this.

Bachmann has collapsed regardless if she wins Iowa because Perry's entrance means she won't win the South.  Her appeal is now only in the upper Midwest and there's just not enough delegates there to win a nomination.

I disagree.  The feild will rapidly collapse down to the winner of Iowa against the winner of New Hampshire.  If Bachmann wins Iowa, I think momentum will give her a shot in South Carolina. 

[King]

If Perry finishes a solid 2nd or 3rd in IA ans NH he will be relevant and win SC easily. The only thing that could derail him is Romney winning Florida.  If he can land SC/FL, he wins all of the South and Bachmann is pratically finished. And officially finished when either Perry or Romney steals a Midwestern state (likely Michigan)

[Bull Moose Base]

If Perry finishes a solid 2nd or 3rd in IA ans NH he will be relevant and win SC easily. The only thing that could derail him is Romney winning Florida.  If he can land SC/FL, he wins all of the South and Bachmann is pratically finished. And officially finished when either Perry or Romney steals a Midwestern state (likely Michigan)

At this point, his expectations have gotten so high that losing Iowa to Bachmann could be fatal.  Losing to Romney would be a serious blow but I think he could recover.