RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
Posts: 20,058
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« on: July 11, 2011, 10:26:56 AM » |
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I would say both maps are fairly realistic. While RFK won the IN primary convincingly IOTL, 500,000 more Republicans voted for Nixon alone than in the Democratic primary. So scratch Indiana.
Kennedy wins Ohio and can win California if he nearly burns himself out (as happened in the primary IOTL) stumping the state when possible, plus a more efficient GOTV machine. Ultimately CA hangs on GOTV, particularly in LA County for RFK and NoCa for Nixon.
Kennedy-Wallace: Many Northern and Midwestern WWC voters who voted Wallace in the general voted for RFK in the primary and adamantly refused to consider Nixon. I don't recall any stats being done but numerous anecdotal sources, both primary and secondary, suggest that the number was significant. It was a cultural/personal vote thing, BTW.
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