maine is not a tossup no matter who wins the gop primary.
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  maine is not a tossup no matter who wins the gop primary.		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: maine is not a tossup no matter who wins the gop primary.  (Read 3231 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: June 28, 2011, 04:02:36 PM »
option 1 (sane)
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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2011, 04:11:58 PM »
I think Paul or Huntsman could win Maine.
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King
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« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2011, 04:12:34 PM »
Quote from: CoolidgeRevivalist on June 28, 2011, 04:11:58 PM
I think Paul or Huntsman could win Maine.

Paul could win Massachusetts.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #3 on: June 28, 2011, 04:38:43 PM »
I could see Romney, Johnson, or Huntsman win Maine.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #4 on: June 28, 2011, 05:20:28 PM »
Agree.

It's not entirely out of play, but it's not a tossup under even the most forgiving analysis.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #5 on: June 28, 2011, 05:23:08 PM »

paul could win all 50 states, because he is the most awesomest politician on the internets... obviously.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #6 on: June 28, 2011, 05:25:29 PM »
Ron Paul could win 2/3s of NYC AND San Francisco.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #7 on: June 28, 2011, 05:32:12 PM »
Quote from: Simfan34 on June 28, 2011, 05:25:29 PM
Ron Paul could win 2/3s of NYC AND San Francisco.

youre not a day over 14 are you?
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Simfan34
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« Reply #8 on: June 28, 2011, 05:42:01 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on June 28, 2011, 05:32:12 PM
Quote from: Simfan34 on June 28, 2011, 05:25:29 PM
Ron Paul could win 2/3s of NYC AND San Francisco.

youre not a day over 14 are you?

It seems I happen to be bad at expressing sarcasm on this board... second time today!
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Holmes
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« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2011, 05:44:18 PM »
You totally have to use this font to convey sarcasm.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #10 on: June 28, 2011, 05:45:09 PM »
there are so many young twerps on here these days...i just dont know who is or isnt one....
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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
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« Reply #11 on: June 28, 2011, 07:19:39 PM »
Maine has an independent/libertarian streak. That's why Dr. Paul could win.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #12 on: June 28, 2011, 07:48:16 PM »
Quote from: WalterMitty on June 28, 2011, 05:45:09 PM
there are so many young twerps on here these days...i just dont know who is or isnt one....

Sorry 4 U.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #13 on: June 28, 2011, 09:15:47 PM »
Absolutely not.

Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann both have a chance at the nomination, and the only way they could possibly make Maine competitive is in a massive GOP landslide, which isn't going to happen, sadly.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #14 on: June 28, 2011, 09:24:20 PM »
I certainly wouldn't call it a tossup but I would consider it in play if Romney or Huntsman got the nomination (also Johnson, as before, but I don't see him winning). If Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann, or even Santorum, Gingrich, Cain, and the rest of the pack was the nominee, no way; if it was Pawlenty and things were going very badly for Obama, maybe.
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Boris
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« Reply #15 on: June 28, 2011, 11:37:31 PM »
Maine is what, 5 points more (D) than the national average? Continued high unemployment, high misery index, high gas prices and Romney could probably beat Obama by five nationally if he runs a good campaign (he has to find a good way to counter the flip-flopping and sleaziness charges). I think the rest of the field pretty much hands Obama a get out of jail free card though if present conditions persist until election day.
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officepark
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« Reply #16 on: June 28, 2011, 11:43:14 PM »
Agree (not a Romney hack)
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J. J.
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« Reply #17 on: June 28, 2011, 11:44:08 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on June 28, 2011, 05:44:18 PM
You totally have to use this font to convey sarcasm.

I was going to suggest [sarcasm] [/sarcasm].
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J. J.
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« Reply #18 on: June 28, 2011, 11:59:10 PM »
At this point, no, it is solidly Democratic.  Except for NH, New England is solidly Democratic.

If we are talking ME going down, we'd be talking about NY and CA going down.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #19 on: June 29, 2011, 12:18:58 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on June 28, 2011, 11:59:10 PM
At this point, no, it is solidly Democratic.  Except for NH, New England is solidly Democratic.

If we are talking ME going down, we'd be talking about NY and CA going down.

You took that a bit too far. I see ME going before NJ, probably closer to MI. Never underestimate the ferocity of the angry white working class. They will vote against any incumbent if times are tough enough.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #20 on: June 29, 2011, 04:21:59 AM »
« Edited: June 29, 2011, 08:57:25 AM by Nichlemn »
Quote from: J. J. on June 28, 2011, 11:59:10 PM
At this point, no, it is solidly Democratic.  Except for NH, New England is solidly Democratic.

If we are talking ME going down, we'd be talking about NY and CA going down.

Maine
Barack H. Obama   Joseph R. Biden, Jr.   Democratic    421,923    57.71%   4
John S. McCain, III   Sarah Palin   Republican    295,273    40.38%   0

New York
Barack H. Obama   Joseph R. Biden, Jr.   Democratic    4,804,945    62.88%   31
John S. McCain, III   Sarah Palin   Republican    2,752,771    36.03%   0

California
Barack H. Obama   Joseph R. Biden, Jr.   Democratic    8,274,473    60.94%   55
John S. McCain, III   Sarah Palin   Republican    5,011,781    36.91%   0

That's a pretty big gap. ME is Lean/Likely Democratic, sure, but equating ME with NY is worse than equating with ME with NH.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #21 on: June 29, 2011, 06:59:34 AM »
Quote from: Boris on June 28, 2011, 11:37:31 PM
Maine is what, 5 points more (D) than the national average? Continued high unemployment, high misery index, high gas prices and Romney could probably beat Obama by five nationally if he runs a good campaign (he has to find a good way to counter the flip-flopping and sleaziness charges). I think the rest of the field pretty much hands Obama a get out of jail free card though if present conditions persist until election day.

McCain rhymes with Maine though, so he might have overperformed.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #22 on: June 29, 2011, 07:12:06 AM »

Don't forget D.C.!
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #23 on: June 29, 2011, 10:11:56 AM »
sorry, but: lol
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #24 on: June 29, 2011, 11:01:19 AM »
hahaha

Paul could probably make Maine a tossup, and he might be able to do the same for Oregon and Washington if the president wasn't too popular.

Inversely, he would probably make Florida safely Democratic and wouldn't do so well in traditionally strong Republican states like Kansas and leaning Republican states like Georgia.
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