Reuters/Ipsos: No Republican has a chance against Obama
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  Reuters/Ipsos: No Republican has a chance against Obama
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Author Topic: Reuters/Ipsos: No Republican has a chance against Obama  (Read 1157 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 11, 2011, 11:05:15 PM »

Obama Approval:

49% Approve
47% Disapprove

...



http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=10715
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #1 on: May 12, 2011, 06:24:14 AM »


Well, lets see.

The Ispos poll you cited is composed of 44% Democrats and 23% Republicans.

The 2008 general election was 39% Democrats and 32% Republicans per Edison.

Seems to me that the Ipos poll is more than a little biased.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: May 12, 2011, 10:05:50 AM »


Well, lets see.

The Ispos poll you cited is composed of 44% Democrats and 23% Republicans.

The 2008 general election was 39% Democrats and 32% Republicans per Edison.

Seems to me that the Ipos poll is more than a little biased.


The gap between "Approve" and "Disapprove" might be slight, but take a good look at the gaps between President Obama and every prospective Republican. When you figure that "will not vote" and many of the "don't know" won't vote... the Republicans have a weak field.

Figure that many who disapprove not only disapprove of President Obama but would also disapprove of any Republican nominee that anyone can imagine. Sure, the economy is still a mess, but look at how low the approvals are for the Republican majority in the House!

Maybe we are simply in a time of political transition from one political norm to another, and that the new political norm will be very different from what we are accustomed to seeing. 
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #3 on: May 12, 2011, 02:49:34 PM »


Well, lets see.

The Ispos poll you cited is composed of 44% Democrats and 23% Republicans.

The 2008 general election was 39% Democrats and 32% Republicans per Edison.

Seems to me that the Ipos poll is more than a little biased.


     The 23% for Republicans omits leaners whereas the 44% for Democrats includes them. Including leaners increases it to 40% Republican. From the very end of the PDF:

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NHI
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« Reply #4 on: May 12, 2011, 03:03:02 PM »

Just a little biased.
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King
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« Reply #5 on: May 12, 2011, 05:04:51 PM »


Who? CARL? Nah, I think he just misread the data.
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #6 on: May 13, 2011, 11:38:56 AM »

This is only due to Osama's death. It'll wear off in a while.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: May 13, 2011, 11:58:55 AM »
« Edited: May 14, 2011, 04:11:48 AM by pbrower2a »

This is only due to Osama's death. It'll wear off in a while.

The "bump" isn't that big anyway. President Obama and prospective Democratic Representatives were gaining before then on the controversy of the Ryan budget, the latter almost certainly becoming grist for negative campaigns against elected Republicans.
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King
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« Reply #8 on: May 13, 2011, 02:34:10 PM »

This is only due to Osama's death. It'll wear off in a while.

A +2 approval rating = Obama landslide does not compute.
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Smash255
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« Reply #9 on: May 13, 2011, 11:46:50 PM »


Well, lets see.

The Ispos poll you cited is composed of 44% Democrats and 23% Republicans.

The 2008 general election was 39% Democrats and 32% Republicans per Edison.

Seems to me that the Ipos poll is more than a little biased.


     The 23% for Republicans omits leaners whereas the 44% for Democrats includes them. Including leaners increases it to 40% Republican. From the very end of the PDF:

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Wait, Carl lied??  Couldn't be......
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Smash255
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« Reply #10 on: May 13, 2011, 11:48:59 PM »

This is only due to Osama's death. It'll wear off in a while.

A +2 approval rating = Obama landslide does not compute.

It basically shows how weak the GOP field is.  I think that Hunstman would do quite a bit better in these polls once he is better known, however he isn't conservative enough to win the nomination. 
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: May 14, 2011, 04:19:18 AM »

This is only due to Osama's death. It'll wear off in a while.

A +2 approval rating = Obama landslide does not compute.

It basically shows how weak the GOP field is.  I think that Hunstman would do quite a bit better in these polls once he is better known, however he isn't conservative enough to win the nomination. 

Jon Huntsman has by far the least baggage; he is undeniably sane.   Appointment by the President to one of the most critical ambassadorships would seem evidence of competence. Of course he can hardly expect to excite the GOP base that wants red-meat issues.
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