FL-Mason Dixon: Romney/Huckabee ahead of Obama, Trump/Palin not

[Tender Branson]

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s performance as president?

43% Approve
51% Disapprove

If the 2012 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican?

48% Romney
43% Obama

If the 2012 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mike Huckabee, the Republican?

49% Huckabee
44% Obama

If the 2012 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican?

48% Obama
40% Trump

If the 2012 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote if the choice were between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Sarah Palin, the Republican?

51% Obama
39% Palin

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from April 4 through April 7, 2011. A total of 800 registered voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

http://www.ronsachs.com/docs/prespoll.pdf

...

The new map:

Obama vs. Huckabee

Obama vs. Romney

Obama vs. Gingrich

Obama vs. Palin

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Interesting that NC is more favorable to Obama than FL. That said, I know the election is a ways away..

[NHI]

I know it's early, but I hope those numbers keep going up for Mitt!

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Different picture from PPP. Interesting.

[Eraserhead]

A little surprising but it does seem like Obama's numbers are slumping again pretty badly.

Palin, Trump, Gingrich and the other joke candidates remain unelectable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There are other ways to win without Florida, however the GOP needs Florida to win. Their convention is in Florida which gives them an edge in Florida to win as well. But I don't think this is terrible news as long as CO, NV and PA is clearly in reach for the Dems.

[big bad fab]

Why this new trend in FL ?

Mason-Dixon isn't a bad pollster at all, so... ?

[Nichlemn]

Is the first reasonable poll to put a Republican ahead in an Obama state?

[Umengus]

The party ID sample: D= 44 % R: 40 % I: 16 %

D +4, It seems correct and it's the problem for Obama.

[DrScholl]

It may be an outlier, but it's so early, it doesn't mean much.

[Ben Romney]

The party ID is too optimistic for the D

Never will both parties about 40%

in 2006 a democratic year it was 39R 36D 25I
in 2008 a heavily democratic year it was 34R 37D 29I
in 2010 a very strong R year it was: 36R 36D 28I
in 2012 it could be something like: 35R 36D 29I

[opebo]

Different picture from PPP. Interesting.

Seems much more realistic than PPP.

[Reaganfan]

Florida is critical to a Republican victory next year.

[auburntiger]

This is no news to me.
Any formidable GOP opponent has a shot to win Florida.

[Associate Justice PiT]

I know it's early, but I hope those numbers keep going up for Mitt!

     Wouldn't surprise me if they did. Trump is a marketing dream for Romney; he gets to portray himself as conservatively as he needs to win the primaries, within reason, & still look like the moderate Republican choice to independents.