MA-Suffolk: Sen. Brown (R) leads all opponents
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  MA-Suffolk: Sen. Brown (R) leads all opponents
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Author Topic: MA-Suffolk: Sen. Brown (R) leads all opponents  (Read 2154 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 07, 2011, 12:40:23 AM »

The poll indicates that former US representative Joseph P. Kennedy II would pose the strongest challenge to the Republican senator. In a hypothetical head-to-head race, Kennedy would receive 40 percent of the vote to Brown’s 45 percent. Kennedy, however, has indicated to leading Democrats that he has no interest in challenging Brown.

Brown would more easily defeat Patrick, by 52 percent to 37 percent; Victoria Reggie Kennedy, by 52 percent to 30 percent; and Lieutenant Governor Timothy P. Murray by 51 to 23 percent. Though all three have been mentioned as potential candidates, Patrick, Murray, and Kennedy have said that they will not challenge Brown in 2012.

Brown would also beat US Representative Michael E. Capuano of Somerville, 52 percent to 26 percent; Representative Edward J. Markey of Malden, 53 percent to 26 percent; and Mayor Setti Warren of Newton, 52 percent to 9 percent.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2011/04/07/new_poll_shows_brown_faring_well_against_possible_challengers/

http://www.suffolk.edu/offices/46306.html
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: April 07, 2011, 01:06:51 AM »

The poll indicates that former US representative Joseph P. Kennedy II would pose the strongest challenge to the Republican senator. In a hypothetical head-to-head race, Kennedy would receive 40 percent of the vote to Brown’s 45 percent. Kennedy, however, has indicated to leading Democrats that he has no interest in challenging Brown.

Brown would more easily defeat Patrick, by 52 percent to 37 percent; Victoria Reggie Kennedy, by 52 percent to 30 percent; and Lieutenant Governor Timothy P. Murray by 51 to 23 percent. Though all three have been mentioned as potential candidates, Patrick, Murray, and Kennedy have said that they will not challenge Brown in 2012.

Brown would also beat US Representative Michael E. Capuano of Somerville, 52 percent to 26 percent; Representative Edward J. Markey of Malden, 53 percent to 26 percent; and Mayor Setti Warren of Newton, 52 percent to 9 percent.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2011/04/07/new_poll_shows_brown_faring_well_against_possible_challengers/

http://www.suffolk.edu/offices/46306.html

No Republican has lead in a MA Senate race by 43 points in any poll probably since the days of Saltonstall, unless thats a misprint.
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redcommander
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« Reply #2 on: April 07, 2011, 01:18:22 AM »

The poll indicates that former US representative Joseph P. Kennedy II would pose the strongest challenge to the Republican senator. In a hypothetical head-to-head race, Kennedy would receive 40 percent of the vote to Brown’s 45 percent. Kennedy, however, has indicated to leading Democrats that he has no interest in challenging Brown.

Brown would more easily defeat Patrick, by 52 percent to 37 percent; Victoria Reggie Kennedy, by 52 percent to 30 percent; and Lieutenant Governor Timothy P. Murray by 51 to 23 percent. Though all three have been mentioned as potential candidates, Patrick, Murray, and Kennedy have said that they will not challenge Brown in 2012.

Brown would also beat US Representative Michael E. Capuano of Somerville, 52 percent to 26 percent; Representative Edward J. Markey of Malden, 53 percent to 26 percent; and Mayor Setti Warren of Newton, 52 percent to 9 percent.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2011/04/07/new_poll_shows_brown_faring_well_against_possible_challengers/

http://www.suffolk.edu/offices/46306.html

No Republican has lead in a MA Senate race by 43 points in any poll probably since the days of Saltonstall, unless thats a misprint.

Bill Weld did in 1994 I think.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #3 on: April 07, 2011, 10:47:41 AM »


That was gubernatorial, not senate.

Anyway, it must be a misprint or a polling oddity. Mr. Wonderful may be doing well but there's no way an unknown Democrat pulls only 9% of the vote in Massachusetts or 45+ other states.
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Badger
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« Reply #4 on: April 07, 2011, 11:25:12 AM »


That was gubernatorial, not senate.

Anyway, it must be a misprint or a polling oddity. Mr. Wonderful may be doing well but there's no way an unknown Democrat pulls only 9% of the vote in Massachusetts or 45+ other states.

Maybe not. 78% of respondents never heard of Warren. Maybe the candidates paired against Brown weren't specifically labled "the Democratic candidate".

So Joe Jr. has that good a shot, eh? He really needs to run. The whole "it's not the Kennedy seat, its the people's seat" meme that proved so devastating to Coakley a year ago will likely be stale by next year. You add the campaign environment where Brown inevitably has to start defending his moderate-only-compared-to-Mitch-McConnell voting record, plus Obama carrying the state by 25+ points worth of coattails (maybe slightly less against Romney), and suddenly Brown is in serious trouble.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #5 on: April 07, 2011, 01:48:10 PM »

Obviously Brown's in decent shape, but this isn't as surprising as some people seem to think it is, surely - what do people actually know about Scott Brown other than that he, uh, drives a truck and seems nice and moderate? It's not like he's done anything in the Senate that's going to make any headlines, after all.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #6 on: April 07, 2011, 03:01:34 PM »

Why is this far-right nutter so popular in America's most left-wing state?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: April 07, 2011, 04:24:16 PM »

Dems are better off thinking in terms of winning the Kerry seat rather than this one.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
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« Reply #8 on: April 07, 2011, 04:39:59 PM »

The poll indicates that former US representative Joseph P. Kennedy II would pose the strongest challenge to the Republican senator. In a hypothetical head-to-head race, Kennedy would receive 40 percent of the vote to Brown’s 45 percent. Kennedy, however, has indicated to leading Democrats that he has no interest in challenging Brown.

Brown would more easily defeat Patrick, by 52 percent to 37 percent; Victoria Reggie Kennedy, by 52 percent to 30 percent; and Lieutenant Governor Timothy P. Murray by 51 to 23 percent. Though all three have been mentioned as potential candidates, Patrick, Murray, and Kennedy have said that they will not challenge Brown in 2012.

Brown would also beat US Representative Michael E. Capuano of Somerville, 52 percent to 26 percent; Representative Edward J. Markey of Malden, 53 percent to 26 percent; and Mayor Setti Warren of Newton, 52 percent to 9 percent.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2011/04/07/new_poll_shows_brown_faring_well_against_possible_challengers/

http://www.suffolk.edu/offices/46306.html

No Republican has lead in a MA Senate race by 43 points in any poll probably since the days of Saltonstall, unless thats a misprint.

Bill Weld did in 1994 I think.

We're talking about congressional election, not gubernatoria, for Christ sake...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #9 on: April 08, 2011, 01:00:59 AM »

The poll indicates that former US representative Joseph P. Kennedy II would pose the strongest challenge to the Republican senator. In a hypothetical head-to-head race, Kennedy would receive 40 percent of the vote to Brown’s 45 percent. Kennedy, however, has indicated to leading Democrats that he has no interest in challenging Brown.

Brown would more easily defeat Patrick, by 52 percent to 37 percent; Victoria Reggie Kennedy, by 52 percent to 30 percent; and Lieutenant Governor Timothy P. Murray by 51 to 23 percent. Though all three have been mentioned as potential candidates, Patrick, Murray, and Kennedy have said that they will not challenge Brown in 2012.

Brown would also beat US Representative Michael E. Capuano of Somerville, 52 percent to 26 percent; Representative Edward J. Markey of Malden, 53 percent to 26 percent; and Mayor Setti Warren of Newton, 52 percent to 9 percent.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2011/04/07/new_poll_shows_brown_faring_well_against_possible_challengers/

http://www.suffolk.edu/offices/46306.html

No Republican has lead in a MA Senate race by 43 points in any poll probably since the days of Saltonstall, unless thats a misprint.

No, he really gets 9% in this poll.

PS: The 9% are identical to the 9% who have heard of him ... Tongue
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #10 on: April 08, 2011, 02:09:15 AM »

Why is this far-right nutter so popular in America's most left-wing state?

Cause he's not a far-right nutter, and because this isn't America's most left-wing state. Hope that answered your rhetorical question.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #11 on: April 09, 2011, 04:51:00 AM »

Why is this far-right nutter so popular in America's most left-wing state?

Cause he's not a far-right nutter, and because this isn't America's most left-wing state. Hope that answered your rhetorical question.

Obvious troll was trolling.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: April 12, 2011, 05:00:34 PM »

Because without a Kennedy running there isn't a candidate strong enough to beat him Joe kennedy or vicki Kennedy.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #13 on: April 12, 2011, 08:31:27 PM »

He's not offending anyone and seems to be doing a decent job - no shocks he's not being threatened.
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RIP Robert H Bork
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« Reply #14 on: April 12, 2011, 09:14:46 PM »

Why is this far-right nutter so popular in America's most left-wing state?

He's not far-right, troll. He's a liberal Republican (like most Massachusetts Republicans, then again).
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King
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« Reply #15 on: April 14, 2011, 12:58:29 AM »

Good.  He's a perfectly fine Senator and doesn't deserve to lose because he's a Republican.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #16 on: April 14, 2011, 01:01:47 AM »

Good.  He's a perfectly fine Senator and doesn't deserve to lose because he's a Republican.

Actually he's a *excessive hyperbole* and deserves to lose for being a *excessive hyperbole*, even though his Democratic challenger will no doubt be an even bigger *excessive hyperbole*.  Ah, the joys of MA/America.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #17 on: April 14, 2011, 08:31:49 AM »

When it comes down to it, once the campaign gets started, he has to defend himself and he's taken some votes that don't necessarily align with his state. Popularity does not equal electoral security, he's still going to have fight on his hands and doesn't deserve a free pass, no Senator does.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: April 14, 2011, 01:11:36 PM »
« Edited: April 14, 2011, 01:20:07 PM by George »

Whoever, gets redistricted out of MA will challenge Brown, but he has to do some major gaffes in order to lose this which is almost a certainty now.  In order for him to lose he would have to have a major tea party opponent like a club for growth one like Laffey or Toomey.
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