2012: Obama vs. Trump vs. Bloomberg (with a scenario)
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  2012: Obama vs. Trump vs. Bloomberg (with a scenario)
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Author Topic: 2012: Obama vs. Trump vs. Bloomberg (with a scenario)  (Read 638 times)
Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
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« on: April 05, 2011, 07:38:53 PM »

The first quarter of fiscal year 2012 (October 1, 2011 - December 1, 2011) is a recession.  The recession was triggered by a worsening of the European Sovereign Debt crisis and rising gas prices.  It continues through the spring of 2012 before sluggish growth resumes in July.  Unemployment is at 8.7% on Election Day.  The Recession was a global one.  It was China's first recession since it began its meteoric rise, prompting civil unrest in certain areas of the country.

The War in Libya stalemates between the forces of Ghaddafi and the rebels in the Summer of 2011.  An armistice is signed and a Demilitarized Zone drawn between the Democratic, oil-laden east and poor west.  Ghaddafi has lost all respect for the international community; in retaliation for their helping the rebels, he cooperates with Al-Qaeda in the New Years bombing in Times Square, New York.  Several hundred were killed in the attack and thousands wounded.  In retaliation, a NATO coalition led by the United States and East Libya invade the west.  America boots hit the ground.  By the end of winter, the war is over, Ghadaffi is on his way to The Hague, and Libya is reunited.

The revolution in Bahrain turns into a kind of proxy war between Iran and Saudi Arabia, with the two side supporting the Shi'ite people and Sunni rulers respectively.  Saudi Arabia is forced to withdraw after occupying the country when rebellion flares up in its eastern provinces.  Gas prices soar throughout the later part of 2011 into Spring 2012.  Though the Saudi's put out the rebellion in their own country, their cousins in Bahrain are overthrown and a Democratic government put in place.

The people of Yemen also overthrow their dictator.  They received no outside help.

What would become known as the Third Intifada began in the Fall of 2011.  Hamas cells in Lebanon and Syria fired 40,000 rockets into Israel at one time.  This was concurrent with Palestiniant uprisings in certain parts of Israel.  The Syrian dictator, who had been almost to the point of conceding his power, rallied his people together against Israel and declared war against Israel.  His forces were steamrolled; after the war he was promptly overthrown.  Hamas was shattered by the Israeli forces despite the whining of the UN; the Israeli government conducted the war without American assistance.

In the Winter of 2011, Kim Jong-il dies suddenly.  Civil War breaks out between to members of the Regency Council, Kim's Brother in-law and one of the country's most powerful generals.  In the chaos, refugees stream across the border into China.  Reports of Nuclear Bomb detonations are enough for the UN to grant China permission to invade to restore order, which they do.  The regime is overthrown and the two Koreas begin down the long road to unification.
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Phew!  That's a lot of foreign affairs!  Now on to politics.

Obama keeps Biden and runs for reelection.  Due to the recession and skewed public perception towards his foreign affairs accomplishments (whining about how American troops were redeployed to Libya after the bombings for instance) his approvals fluctuated between 39 and 44 for most of 2012.

The GOP primary is hilarity-inducing.  Bachmann wins Iowa and South Carolina, Trump wins New Hampshire and Florida and then goes on to to Super Tuesday's big winner.  He selected Bachmann as his running mate.

Ron Paul makes waves by defecting the Libertarian Party after Trump wins the nomination.  He does this because of his outrage out all of Obama's foreign interventions and out of fear that Trump's anti-china rhetoric could get us involved in even worse overseas exploits.  He picks Wayne Allen Root as his running mate.

Bloomberg sees his chance in the weak field and announces his bid for president.  He is more socially liberal than Paul but has the moderate record to pick up Republicans dissatisfied with both Trump and Paul tickets.  He chooses Chuck Hagel as his running mate.

The Constitution Party selects Tom Tancredo, the former Republican who ran a very strong campaign in Colorado during the midterms.  He picks some evangelical preacher as his running mate.
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How do they do?  Don't forget vote splitting!  Maps are always appreciated.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2011, 09:32:56 AM »

Obama carries every state.
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #2 on: April 06, 2011, 09:35:46 AM »

I would vote for Trump/Bachmann or Tancredo/Unnamed preacher.
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