WI-PPP: Ryan and Huckabee lead

[Mr. Morden]

PPP GOP primary poll of Wisconsin:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WI_0304.pdf

If Paul Ryan is a candidate:

Ryan 30%
Huckabee 17%
Gingrich 12%
Palin 9%
Romney 9%
Paul 5%
Pawlenty 4%
Daniels 3%

If Ryan is not a candidate:

Huckabee 23%
Gingrich 15%
Palin 15%
Romney 12%
Pawlenty 10%
Paul 5%
Daniels 3%

Ryan's strongest demo is voters between the ages of 30 and 45.

[tpfkaw]

The real story here is that Romney's in fourth in what should be a strong state for him.

[Mr. Morden]

The real story here is that Romney's in fourth in what should be a strong state for him.

Why should it be a strong state for him?  Most of the polls have Romney strongest in the Northeast and West, not the Midwest (though of course he does well in Michigan).

[California8429]

The real story here is that Romney's in fourth in what should be a strong state for him.

Huckabee did very well there with $0 in 08. This really isn't a Romney lock state. He doesn't sweep everything north of the mason-dixon line

[Lief 🗽]

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Neighboring-state effect.

[Tender Branson]

Map:

Huckabee -> Light Blue
Romney -> Red
Palin -> Pink
Gingrich -> Dark Blue
Pawlenty -> Green
DeMint -> Yellow

Huckabee takes Wisconsin from Palin. Paul Ryan is very unlikely to run for President.

[Lief 🗽]

Huckabee is really stupid for not running.

[Tender Branson]

Just found out that the Wikipedia article that says Gingrich leads in Louisiana is wrong.

Huckabee and Gingrich are tied in the last PPP poll from LA.

Map:

Huckabee -> Light Blue
Romney -> Red
Palin -> Pink
Pawlenty -> Green
DeMint -> Yellow