Irish Election Results Thread

[Јas]

Dub NW count complete: 2 Lab, 1 SF
(Lab and SF GAINS from FF)

Only constituency that won't have a FG TD.

[Јas]

Michael D'Arcy (FG-Wexford) becomes the first non-FF/Green incumbent to lose his seat at this election. He lost out to running-mate Liam Twomey.

Wexford complete: 2 FG, 1 i, 1 L, 1 FF
(i GAIN from FF)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Al, your really should have made that your sig, I prefer not to be reminded of the Lynch-Haughey unpleasantness.

Speaking of which, Haughey the younger has now been formally eliminated.

Now that the son is gone ( ) I will change the signature.

[Јas]

Strong anti-FF transfering gives SF a seat in Cork E

Cork E Result: 2 FG, 1 L, 1 SF
(FG and SF GAINS from FF)

[Јas]

Enda welcomes the "biggest endorsement" of FG in the history of the party.

FG 2011: 36.1%
FG 1982: 37.3%

[Insula Dei]

Enda welcomes the "biggest endorsement" of FG in the history of the party.

FG 2011: 36.1%
FG 1982: 37.3%

TBF, FG never actually beat FF in a way like this, so I don't think it's an exaggeration.

[Јas]

Despite taking 23.6% of the FPV in Cork SW, FF will not get a seat.
Very strong anti-FF transfering looks like making a Labour gain.

[tpfkaw]

Enda welcomes the "biggest endorsement" of FG in the history of the party.

FG 2011: 36.1%
FG 1982: 37.3%

TBF, FG never actually beat FF in a way like this, so I don't think it's an exaggeration.

And, isn't this the largest number of seats for them ever?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Enda welcomes the "biggest endorsement" of FG in the history of the party.

FG 2011: 36.1%
FG 1982: 37.3%

TBF, FG never actually beat FF in a way like this, so I don't think it's an exaggeration.

And, isn't this the largest number of seats for them ever?

We don't know how many seats they've won yet.

[Verily]

So far, of the handful of completed voted counting constituencies, I haven't found a single case where the elected members were any different than the first count finishers. In other words, the results wouldn't be different had a Single Non-transferable ballot been used.  I'm wondering how often the tranferable part plays a roll, and pushes someone ahead to win a seat when they were trailing for that seat after the first count.
    I know in Australia House of Rep single seat districts its often the Green vote that pushes Labour candidates ahead of National or Liberal candidates in some districts, but how often in Ireland is it significant.

Watch Galway East and Kerry South.

Wicklow finally completes its count - making it all 43 constituencies to declare - and as all the world was hoping Dick Roche failed epically. Not even close to retaining his seat (5.5%).

Also Dublin SE. The elected second Labour TD was in fifth on first preferences, behind the defeated incumbent FF TD in fourth.

Edit: And in Meath West, the second FG TD elected was in fourth to begin but passed the third-placed second Labour candidate to be elected in that three-seater.

As to the above, most seats FG has ever won before was 70, in November 1982 (Jas quoted the February 1982 numbers; FG actually got more votes (39.2%) and seats in the second election that year)--which they seem certain to surpass.

[minionofmidas]

Despite taking 23.6% of the FPV in Cork SW, FF will not get a seat.
Very strong anti-FF transfering looks like making a Labour gain.

Cork NC might end up an FF shutout as well - FF incumbent there did well on first pref.s but his transfers look so bad they might as well be negative. One Labour candidate to be eliminated now, after that it'll be a big surplus from the other, incumbent Labour candidate, and I wouldn't be surprised if both FG candidates overtake him on those two redistributions - one certainly will. (And after that, there'll be nothing left.)

[minionofmidas]

I suppose special congratulations are due to Michael D'Arcy - though Deirdre Clune might repeat the feat.

[Јas]

Critical count in Waterford now.

SF's David Cullinane's transfers (6,298) could decide whether John Halligan (i, formerly The Workers' Party) can overhaul the 835 gap to Brendan Kenneally (FF).

[Јas]

Susan O'Keefe's (Lab) transfers in Sligo-N Leitrim looks like its decided that constituency allowing Colreavy (SF) to take the final seat instead of Scanlon (FF).

I'm very glad Mr Scanlon is not being returned

[Oakvale]

Disappointed if not hugely surprised to see SF's Mary Lou McDonald elected in the last count in my constituency of Dublin Central.

That's Donohoe (FG - who topped the poll! ), Costello (LAB), O' Sullivan (IND) and McDonald, which unless I'm much mistaken is what Jas predicted in the other thread, so I tip my hat.

[Јas]

Cavan-Monaghan very tight. Looking like FG will pick up 3. Kathryn Reilly (SF) has been close behind them for many counts now, but seems unable to close the gap.

Margaret Conlon's (FF) distribution and the inevitable ensuing distibution of the Brendan Smith (FF) surplus that that distribution will create - will decide things. That those votes are much more Monaghan than Cavan in origin, will likely count against Reilly.

[DistingFlyer]

Fifty-seven seats left and Sinn Fein still leads Fianna Fail 11-10. With obviously efficient anti-Fianna Fail transfers in most constituencies, I'm starting to think 20 seats may be in the upper range of possibilities for them.

[Јas]

Fifty-seven seats left and Sinn Fein still leads Fianna Fail 11-10. With obviously efficient anti-Fianna Fail transfers in most constituencies, I'm starting to think 20 seats may be in the upper range of possibilities for them.

I have them at 22 still, but yes it could conceivably dip below 20.

[Franzl]

Will the counting be stopped any time soon for the night?

[minionofmidas]

In many places it already has. Others plow on.

[Јas]

Will the counting be stopped any time soon for the night?

It's a matter for the discretion of the returning officer of each constituency.

Counting is still continuing in:
Cavan-Monaghan
Cork NC
Dublin NE
Dublin SC
Longford-Westmeath
Mayo
Sligo-N Leitrim
Waterford

Everywhere else is either complete or adjourned until morning.

[Јas]

And having said that, the count is now complete in Dublin NE

Though Sligo-N Leitrim is merely formality at this stage, as is Mayo and Dublin SC.

[Јas]

Shut-out of FF in Sligo-N Leitrim confirmed, despite taking 22% of the vote - in a constituency with a 25% quota.

[patrick1]

And having said that, the count is now complete in Dublin NE

Though Sligo-N Leitrim is merely formality at this stage, as is Mayo and Dublin SC.

Glad A. Power was not elected. Not a fan of her husband, her party or policies.  

[Kevinstat]

And having said that, the count is now complete in Dublin NE

Though Sligo-N Leitrim is merely formality at this stage, as is Mayo and Dublin SC.

2 Lab (Bryne (already elected) and Conaghan), 1 FG (Byrne), 1 PBP (Collins), 1 SF (Ó Snodaigh)?