Irish Election Results Thread
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Author Topic: Irish Election Results Thread  (Read 49089 times)
DistingFlyer
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« Reply #150 on: February 26, 2011, 04:28:09 PM »

Fianna Fail have just gotten their fourth member - also in Cork.

Bacik is out in Dun Laoghaire (though Labour says it wants a full recount), so while that should be enough to see Fine Gael win a second seat there, it'll be curious how much of her vote goes to Boyd Barrett. Just over half of Andrews' vote went to Mary Hanafin, so it doesn't look very good for her.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #151 on: February 26, 2011, 04:36:39 PM »

Tánaiste Mary Coughlan eliminated in the Donegal SW count.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #152 on: February 26, 2011, 04:38:57 PM »

Dún Laoighaire count suspended for the night.
Recount called (by Labour, I think) and will start at 10.30a.m. tomorrow.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #153 on: February 26, 2011, 04:52:24 PM »

I can't imagine why the electorate would want to vote for Healy-Rae.

From this remark, I can safely assume that you have never been to South Kerry.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #154 on: February 26, 2011, 04:55:26 PM »

Listening to Enda Kenny for over 5 minutes seconds:

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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #155 on: February 26, 2011, 05:13:29 PM »

Dublin North finished: 2FG 1LAB 1SOC. It looks almost certain now that Lenihan will be the only Dublin FF TD. Perhaps only Chris Andrews has a chance now.
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rob in cal
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« Reply #156 on: February 26, 2011, 05:14:44 PM »

So far, of the handful of completed voted counting constituencies, I haven't found a single case where the elected members were any different than the first count finishers. In other words, the results wouldn't be different had a Single Non-transferable ballot been used.  I'm wondering how often the tranferable part plays a roll, and pushes someone ahead to win a seat when they were trailing for that seat after the first count.
    I know in Australia House of Rep single seat districts its often the Green vote that pushes Labour candidates ahead of National or Liberal candidates in some districts, but how often in Ireland is it significant.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #157 on: February 26, 2011, 05:17:33 PM »

So far, of the handful of completed voted counting constituencies, I haven't found a single case where the elected members were any different than the first count finishers. In other words, the results wouldn't be different had a Single Non-transferable ballot been used.  I'm wondering how often the tranferable part plays a roll, and pushes someone ahead to win a seat when they were trailing for that seat after the first count.
    I know in Australia House of Rep single seat districts its often the Green vote that pushes Labour candidates ahead of National or Liberal candidates in some districts, but how often in Ireland is it significant.

Watch Galway East and Kerry South.

Wicklow finally completes its count - making it all 43 constituencies to declare - and as all the world was hoping Dick Roche failed epically. Not even close to retaining his seat (5.5%).
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #158 on: February 26, 2011, 05:20:23 PM »

Wicklow's first count finally announced - no official winner yet, but Dick Roche is certain to be out.

Final vote is as follows:
FG - 36.1% (+8.8%)
Lab - 19.4% (+9.3%)
FF - 17.4% (–24.2%)
SF - 9.9% (+3.0%)
GP - 1.8% (–2.9%)
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« Reply #159 on: February 26, 2011, 05:22:28 PM »

So, with all first counts:

FG 36.1% (+8.8%)
LAB 19.4% (+9.3%)
FF 17.4% (-24.1%)
Indies 12.6% (+6.8%)
SF 9.9% (+3%)
Greenies 1.8% (-2.8%)
Socialist 1.2% (+0.6%)
PBPA 1%
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« Reply #160 on: February 26, 2011, 05:33:56 PM »

In Dublin South - it's looking like FG could deliver 3 seats from 5 with just 36% of the vote.
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #161 on: February 26, 2011, 05:37:40 PM »

Eamon Ryan's out at Dublin South - that's the last Green seat gone.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #162 on: February 26, 2011, 05:42:09 PM »

     Heh, FF didn't win first preferences anywhere, even though SF won them in Donegal South West.
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #163 on: February 26, 2011, 05:49:16 PM »

     Heh, FF didn't win first preferences anywhere, even though SF won them in Donegal South West.

Micheal Martin won on the first count, but otherwise you're right.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #164 on: February 26, 2011, 05:52:56 PM »

     Heh, FF didn't win first preferences anywhere, even though SF won them in Donegal South West.

Micheal Martin won on the first count, but otherwise you're right.

He meant that FF candidates put together did not win the most first prefs anywhere.
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Јas
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« Reply #165 on: February 26, 2011, 05:54:58 PM »

We've now had consecutive elections where the Tánaiste has lost their seat.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #166 on: February 26, 2011, 05:58:16 PM »

     Humorously, FG received the most first preferences in Tipperary South in 2007, but now Independents have beaten them there.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #167 on: February 26, 2011, 06:16:53 PM »

Donegal SW

Votes: SF 33%, FF 22.5%, FG 19.9%, Inds 18.3%, Labour 5.1%, Greenie 1.2
Seats: SF 1, FG 1, Ind 1

Epic Fáil
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #168 on: February 26, 2011, 06:20:52 PM »

They've halted the count in Galway East, because a FG candidate wants a recount.  Makes sense to me... the official tally has him being eliminated (rather than an Indie) by 2 votes in Count 7.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #169 on: February 26, 2011, 06:24:54 PM »

Donegal SW

Votes: SF 33%, FF 22.5%, FG 19.9%, Inds 18.3%, Labour 5.1%, Greenie 1.2
Seats: SF 1, FG 1, Ind 1

Epic Fáil

The FF seat there was held by the Tanaiste who once, I believe I embrassingly told you this before, claimed Einstein invented the theory of evolution (at a meeting intended to promote Ireland as a "knowledge economy" whatever that is). So yeah, LOL.

One pattern is painfully clear however. Where FF are retaining seats it is mainly due to the lack of good opponents as much as anything else. Oh, and the occasional TD personality cult such as O´Dea.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #170 on: February 26, 2011, 06:26:36 PM »

The FF seat there was held by the Tanaiste who once, I believe I embrassingly told you this before, claimed Einstein invented the theory of evolution (at a meeting intended to promote Ireland as a "knowledge economy" whatever that is). So yeah, LOL.

I was thinking of making that my election signature actually; quite a close call.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #171 on: February 26, 2011, 06:34:11 PM »
« Edited: February 26, 2011, 06:36:49 PM by The Goy's Teeth »


Most excellent.

Al, your really should have made that your sig, I prefer not to be reminded of the Lynch-Haughey unpleasantness.

Speaking of which, Haughey the younger has now been formally eliminated.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #172 on: February 26, 2011, 06:46:47 PM »

Kerry South could become the first constituency to elect 2 independents in 60 years (Dublin NE in 1951).
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #173 on: February 26, 2011, 06:46:54 PM »

Laois-Offaly is tired and is going to bed.

EDIT: As is Kerry South.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #174 on: February 26, 2011, 06:48:12 PM »

Kerry South could become the first constituency to elect 2 independents in 60 years (Dublin NE in 1951).

Both FF genepool however (unless you are thinking of Michael Gleeson).
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