Irish Election Results Thread

[Tetro Kornbluth]

The right-wing vote was really out in Dublin South yesterday, I see.

Anyway, this is a good time to post Tipperary South (3 Seats. Quota: 25% +1), the first consistuency to declare from Bogland:

HAYES, Tom FG  21.5%  8896
HEALY, Séamus IND  21.3%  8818
*McGRATH, Mattie IND  14.7%  6074
*MANSERGH, Martin FF  13.1%  5419
MURPHY, Michael FG  13.1%  5402
PRENDERGAST, Phil LAB  10.9%  4525
BROWNE, Michael SF   4.5%  1860
McNALLY, Paul GP   0.9%  367

Difficult to know really. Hopefully both McGrath and Mansergh will be defeated though I wouldn´t be too sure of it. Great showing by Healy (ULA).

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Joe Higgins elected in Dublin West.

It looks like very few of the (admittely insignificant - less than 700) green transfers went to FF. Hmm...

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Ross´ transfers, I imagine, would go to FG.

The most boggiest of bogland consistuencies has just declared (Ok Jas, I´ll stop) - Cork North West. Traditionally here FG and FF got 90%+ of the vote between them. This time not so straightforward though however 2FG 1FF is probably the most likely outcome:

*CREED, Michael FG  22.1%  10112
*MOYNIHAN, Michael FF  19.3%  8845
COLLINS, Áine FG  17.2%  7884
COUGHLAN, Martin LAB  14.0%  6421
CANTY, Derry FG  9.5%  4325
O'GRADY, Des SF  7.4%  3405
Ó DONNABHÁIN, Daithí FF  5.6%  2545
FOLEY, Ann PBP   3.4%  1552
COLLINS, Mark GP   1.4%  651

[Hash]

Does it seem that FF is getting hit hardest in the high-growth suburban communities which reelected Ahern in 02/07?

[Јas]

TV3's guestimate of overall result:

76 FG
36 Lab
17 FF
16 SF
  1 Green
18 Ind/Others

[Јas]

Results Table

Fine Gael	5	(+2: Hayes, Dublin SW; Noonan, Limerick City)
Labour	4
Fianna Fáil	1
United Left	1	(+1: Higgins, Dublin W)
Independents	1
Sinn Féin	0
Greens	0

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Limerick City - an amazing performance by Noonan:

*NOONAN, Michael FG   30.8%  13291    
*O'DEA, Willie FF  16.1%  6956
*O'SULLIVAN, Jan LAB  14.7%  6353
*O'DONNELL, Kieran FG  12.5%  5405
QUINLIVAN, Maurice SF  8.6%  3711
LEDDIN, Joe LAB  5.6%  2411
*POWER, Peter FF  5.3%  2303
KIELY, Kevin IND  2.6%  1129
PRENDIVILLE, Cian SP  1.7%  721
CAHILL, Sheila GP  1.1%  490
O'DONOGHUE, Conor CSP  0.4%  186
RIORDAN, Denis IND  0.4%  173
LARKIN, Matt IND  0.1%  59

Certain to be 2FG 1LAB and Willie O´Dea alas.

Also Jas add another to Fine Gael: Durkan in Kildare North.

[Hash]

What happens with Higgins' MEP seat?

[Tetro Kornbluth]

What happens with Higgins' MEP seat?

He has a registered replacement though I can´t quite remember who it is.

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Does it seem that FF is getting hit hardest in the high-growth suburban communities which reelected Ahern in 02/07?

I don´t think so. It is just those are the consistuencies that have declared first. Let´s wait and see.

[Јas]

What happens with Higgins' MEP seat?

He has a registered replacement though I can´t quite remember who it is.

I think Clare Daly, who looks like being elected in Dublin N, was his first stated replacement.
IIRC, Mick Barry, running in Cork NC, was the second stated replacement.

[Јas]

Results Table

Fine Gael	6	(+1: Durkan, Kildare N)
Labour	4
Independents	2	(+1: Wallace, Wexford)
Fianna Fáil	1
United Left	1
Sinn Féin	0
Greens	0

[minionofmidas]

Maybe Healy-Rae, McGrath, Lowry et al can make O'Dea an honorary member of their group of Old Vision independent candidates?

[Јas]

Results Table

Fine Gael	6
Labour	4
Independents	2
Fianna Fáil	1
Sinn Féin	1	(+1: Doherty, Donegal SW)
United Left	1
Greens	0

Massive vote for Doherty in Donegal SW.
Tánaiste Mary Coughlan will likely end up in a fight with independent Thomas Pringle for that last seat.

[Hash]

Pearse Doherty wins over quota on first count. Impressive win.

[minionofmidas]

Way over quota. Where are they going to transfer to? Pringle?

You can't count out the Tanaiste being dumped in favor of her running mate, btw.

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Maybe Healy-Rae, McGrath, Lowry et al can make O'Dea an honorary member of their group of Old Vision independent candidates?

He belongs with Healy-Rae and Lowry really. However McGrath doesn´t, basically an SFer/classical-left-urban-republican candidate but with an independent label.

Pringle is an ex-member of SF at least that is what the wires have told me. Furthermore, whether that actually means anything or not is another matter...

[minionofmidas]

Maybe Healy-Rae, McGrath, Lowry et al can make O'Dea an honorary member of their group of Old Vision independent candidates?

He belongs with Healy-Rae and Lowry really. However McGrath doesn´t, basically an SFer/classical-left-urban-republican candidate but with an independent label.

I meant Mattie, not Finian, though...

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Maybe Healy-Rae, McGrath, Lowry et al can make O'Dea an honorary member of their group of Old Vision independent candidates?

He belongs with Healy-Rae and Lowry really. However McGrath doesn´t, basically an SFer/classical-left-urban-republican candidate but with an independent label.

I meant Mattie, not Finian, though...

Ah yes. I try to pretend that he really doesn´t exist and is just a character on a satire sketch. It´s better for the sanity that way.

[Silent Hunter]

Thanks for doing this thread, Al.

Seems a good result for Labour so far. A very good result.

[Јas]

SF could have been not unreasonably placed to take 2 in Donegal SW given Doherty's vote.

[minionofmidas]

Maybe Healy-Rae, McGrath, Lowry et al can make O'Dea an honorary member of their group of Old Vision independent candidates?

He belongs with Healy-Rae and Lowry really. However McGrath doesn´t, basically an SFer/classical-left-urban-republican candidate but with an independent label.

I meant Mattie, not Finian, though...

Ah yes. I try to pretend that he really doesn´t exist and is just a character on a satire sketch. It´s better for the sanity that way.

Like what Western European party systems have always been doing with the Irish one? Makes sense.

[Silent Hunter]

Dublin SE; no-one's hit quota on first count, FG have top two places.

[Јas]

Galway East

Count 1
Paul Connaughton  7,264    12.25%   
Ciaran Cannon        6,924    11.67%   
Michael Kitt             6,604    11.13%        
Tom McHugh          5,833    9.83%   
Sean Canney         5,567    9.38%           
Jimmy McClearn       5,392    9.09%   
Tim Broderick          5,146    8.68%          
Colm Keaveney       4,261    7.18% 
Michael F Dolan       4,107    6.92%         
Dermot Connolly     3,641    6.14%   
Lorraine Higgins      3,577    6.03%          
Emer O'Donnell        601    1.01%   
Ciaran Kennedy        402    0.68%   

Kudos to whomever can correctly figure out the 4 who'll be elected here.

[minionofmidas]

Connaughton, Kitt, one or possibly two of the other FG candidates, probably one of the two high polling indies.

You only asked for "correct". You didn't ask for "precise".