WV-PPP: Democrats lead, unless Shelley Moore Capito runs
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  WV-PPP: Democrats lead, unless Shelley Moore Capito runs
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Author Topic: WV-PPP: Democrats lead, unless Shelley Moore Capito runs  (Read 1963 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: January 26, 2011, 12:31:44 PM »

Shelley Moore Capito...................................... 48%
Earl Ray Tomblin............................................. 40%

Shelley Moore Capito...................................... 49%
Natalie Tennant............................................... 37%

Shelley Moore Capito...................................... 52%
John Perdue ................................................... 33%

Shelley Moore Capito...................................... 54%
Rick Thompson............................................... 29%

...

Earl Ray Tomblin............................................. 54%
Clark Barnes ................................................... 22%

John Perdue ................................................... 41%
Clark Barnes ................................................... 23%

Natalie Tennant............................................... 49%
Clark Barnes ................................................... 23%

Rick Thompson............................................... 34%
Clark Barnes ................................................... 24%

...

Earl Ray Tomblin............................................. 49%
Betty Ireland.................................................... 32%

John Perdue ................................................... 37%
Betty Ireland.................................................... 37%

Natalie Tennant............................................... 43%
Betty Ireland.................................................... 32%

Rick Thompson............................................... 31%
Betty Ireland.................................................... 37%

...

Earl Ray Tomblin............................................. 53%
Mike Stuart...................................................... 20%

John Perdue ................................................... 41%
Mike Stuart...................................................... 21%

Natalie Tennant............................................... 48%
Mike Stuart...................................................... 22%

Rick Thompson............................................... 33%
Mike Stuart...................................................... 22%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WV_01261205.pdf
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #1 on: January 26, 2011, 01:00:56 PM »

So the woman destroys pretty much everyone in the race...

And she's ducked out? Huh
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: January 27, 2011, 02:05:46 PM »

So the woman destroys pretty much everyone in the race...

And she's ducked out? Huh

Maybe she likes it more in Washington D.C. and wants an upgraded position there ?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #3 on: January 27, 2011, 02:08:49 PM »

As I just pointed out in the other thread, her dad losing re-election by almost 18pts in 1988 might have something to do with her reluctance to run statewide. Politicians, much like the rest of us, are not rational creatures. But I'm just speculating.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #4 on: January 27, 2011, 05:56:11 PM »

I think she's afraid of losing a primary agains ireland. what a coward...
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2011, 07:36:38 PM »

I think she's afraid of losing a primary agains ireland. what a coward...
I'm sure Ireland knew Capito wasn't running before she came into the race. Besides, Capito would beat Ireland in a primary.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #6 on: January 28, 2011, 06:09:00 PM »

The Dem primary looks like it'll be a tough one.

Earl Ray Tomblin - 25
Natalie Tennant - 24
John Perdue - 16
Jeff Kessler - 7
Rick Thompson - 6
Brooks McCabe - 4

Meanwhile, Capito is getting the chair pulled out for her, even if she doesn't want to sit down...

Shelley Moore Capito - 72
Betty Ireland - 10
Clark Barnes - 5
Mark Sorsaia - 1
Mike Stuart - 1

Without Capito, the Republican nomination looks like Ireland's to lose:

Betty Ireland - 46
Clark Barnes - 11
Mark Sorsaia - 9
Mike Stuart - 4
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Badger
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« Reply #7 on: January 28, 2011, 06:18:27 PM »
« Edited: January 28, 2011, 07:01:37 PM by Badger »

Geez! Shocked Shelley must really love being in the House.

FWIW, I don't think many swing voters are going to hold her father's misdeeds from over twenty years ago against her. If they did, the third of the state she represents would've never elected her to Congress back in 2000. I doubt voters in the other two WV house districts are any more fixiated on Arch Moore than Capito's consituents were two decades ago, let alone today.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: January 29, 2011, 09:44:11 AM »

FWIW, I don't think many swing voters are going to hold her father's misdeeds from over twenty years ago against her. If they did, the third of the state she represents would've never elected her to Congress back in 2000. I doubt voters in the other two WV house districts are any more fixiated on Arch Moore than Capito's consituents were two decades ago, let alone today.

That's not really what I meant. What I was getting at was more that she might have psychological issues about running for statewide office because of what happened to her father.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #9 on: January 29, 2011, 01:12:23 PM »

Seniority in the House and being in the majority isn't something to give up, especially in a smaller state where clout can be sustained from that position. Even if she wasn't in the majority, she would still be able to have some clout, as she's a moderate.
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Badger
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« Reply #10 on: January 31, 2011, 10:02:42 AM »

FWIW, I don't think many swing voters are going to hold her father's misdeeds from over twenty years ago against her. If they did, the third of the state she represents would've never elected her to Congress back in 2000. I doubt voters in the other two WV house districts are any more fixated on Arch Moore than Capito's constituents were two decades ago, let alone today.

That's not really what I meant. What I was getting at was more that she might have psychological issues about running for statewide office because of what happened to her father.

Interesting theory. Could be. Though maybe that experience would make her all the more likely to try redeeming the family name? Tough to say.

Whatever it is its enough she's giving up a pretty clear run for being top dog in Charleston. Tomblin might give her a close run based on these numbers, but its unlikely he'd avoid a serious primary challenge and come out unscathed for the general. Capito conversely would likely clear the GOP field just by announcing.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2011, 10:57:13 PM »

Maybe she just would rather spend her life being a legislator than an executive?
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