Networks calling GA/NH immediately in 1992
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  Networks calling GA/NH immediately in 1992
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sg0508
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« on: December 29, 2010, 06:47:52 PM »

I'm curious to know how in the heck the networks actually called both of those states.  We know that exit polls are used and that there have been big issues with those, but how can you call those two states that were won by <1 pt and <2 pts, especially when there was a 3rd party candidate making it tough to further predict the actual results?

at 7pm, those two states were called immediately, which seems ridiculous considering how close they were.  In the end, the calls were correct, but that was something.
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phk
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« Reply #1 on: December 29, 2010, 07:03:21 PM »

I'm curious to know how in the heck the networks actually called both of those states.  We know that exit polls are used and that there have been big issues with those, but how can you call those two states that were won by <1 pt and <2 pts, especially when there was a 3rd party candidate making it tough to further predict the actual results?

at 7pm, those two states were called immediately, which seems ridiculous considering how close they were.  In the end, the calls were correct, but that was something.

Were 100% of precincts in?
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #2 on: December 29, 2010, 07:17:15 PM »

I wondered that too.  Didn't the pre-election polls almost match the exit polls?  That may have convinced the networks that their numbers were accurate (when they weren't, obviously.  The unadjusted exit polls showed Clinton winning in the neighborhood of +40 states).

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Kalwejt
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« Reply #3 on: December 29, 2010, 07:26:26 PM »

Headlines of the hour. Clinton has 12 electoral votes we estimate, Bush none, Perot none. Clinton is off to start, rolling like a big wheel thorough Georgia's cotton fields...
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phk
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« Reply #4 on: December 29, 2010, 07:54:13 PM »

Wow Ed Bradley, Connie Chung and Mike Wallace.
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sg0508
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« Reply #5 on: December 29, 2010, 09:47:37 PM »

I thought it was very interesting how fast they called a lot of the Clinton states that night and none of the Bush states. 

At one point, Clinton had 363 EVs to 62 for Bush.  FL, TX, NC, MS, AZ and some other Bush states hadn't been called yet.  Yet, basically all the Clinton states were called by 11pm EDT (outside of NV and MT).

GA, VT and NH were called with 0% reporting and yes, VT wasn't close.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #6 on: December 31, 2010, 07:51:57 PM »

I thought it was very interesting how fast they called a lot of the Clinton states that night and none of the Bush states. 

At one point, Clinton had 363 EVs to 62 for Bush.  FL, TX, NC, MS, AZ and some other Bush states hadn't been called yet.  Yet, basically all the Clinton states were called by 11pm EDT (outside of NV and MT).

GA, VT and NH were called with 0% reporting and yes, VT wasn't close.
The exit polls/pre-election polls must have been showing a huge, ginormous Clinton landslide in that case.
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phk
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« Reply #7 on: December 31, 2010, 08:58:59 PM »

I thought it was very interesting how fast they called a lot of the Clinton states that night and none of the Bush states. 

At one point, Clinton had 363 EVs to 62 for Bush.  FL, TX, NC, MS, AZ and some other Bush states hadn't been called yet.  Yet, basically all the Clinton states were called by 11pm EDT (outside of NV and MT).

GA, VT and NH were called with 0% reporting and yes, VT wasn't close.
The exit polls/pre-election polls must have been showing a huge, ginormous Clinton landslide in that case.

If thats the case. I'm wondering if there were people who said they were for Clinton but had voted for Bush or Perot upon exit.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #8 on: December 31, 2010, 09:58:05 PM »

I thought it was very interesting how fast they called a lot of the Clinton states that night and none of the Bush states. 

At one point, Clinton had 363 EVs to 62 for Bush.  FL, TX, NC, MS, AZ and some other Bush states hadn't been called yet.  Yet, basically all the Clinton states were called by 11pm EDT (outside of NV and MT).

GA, VT and NH were called with 0% reporting and yes, VT wasn't close.
The exit polls/pre-election polls must have been showing a huge, ginormous Clinton landslide in that case.

If thats the case. I'm wondering if there were people who said they were for Clinton but had voted for Bush or Perot upon exit.
Could have been more people saying they were going to vote for Perot and then voting for Bush when they actually had to make a final decision also.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #9 on: December 31, 2010, 10:36:57 PM »
« Edited: January 01, 2011, 09:42:12 PM by Mr. Fuzzleton »

In one scene of "The War Room" (a documentary which covers the Clinton campaign) it shows George Stephanopoulos writing down exit poll data leaked from one of the networks.  Apparently Clinton had a 9% advantage in the raw exit poll from Georgia.   LOL

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tb75
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« Reply #10 on: January 01, 2011, 06:38:48 PM »

I thought it was very interesting how fast they called a lot of the Clinton states that night and none of the Bush states. 

At one point, Clinton had 363 EVs to 62 for Bush.  FL, TX, NC, MS, AZ and some other Bush states hadn't been called yet.  Yet, basically all the Clinton states were called by 11pm EDT (outside of NV and MT).

GA, VT and NH were called with 0% reporting and yes, VT wasn't close.

Clinton almost won NC, FL, and AZ. The three states went back and forth all night
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redcommander
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« Reply #11 on: January 01, 2011, 09:40:08 PM »

I guess it was before the days when networks were forced to wait until the West Coast's polls closed to call enough states for a winner to be projected. No one learned their lesson from 1980 I guess. Wink
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strangeland
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« Reply #12 on: January 01, 2011, 10:56:15 PM »

In one scene of "The War Room" (a documentary which covers the Clinton campaign) it shows George Stephanopoulos writing down exit poll data leaked from one of the networks.  Apparently Clinton had a 9% advantage in the raw exit poll from Georgia.   LOL



In the same scene, they also gloat about winning Texas and North Carolina, states Clinton ended up losing.
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