What state is most correlated with the country? 1960-Present

[phk]

What state do you think has moves with the country the most?

[Niemeyerite]

probably ohio... or nevada...now, virginia =)

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Ohio, obviously.

(Has anyone noticed that thanks to Missouri, Ohio now has the longest "winning" streak, going back to 1964?)

[Devilman88]

There are a few. MO, NV and OH are the top three. But you I notice since 1960 North Carolina voted for the winnier every time but 1992/96, and I think Perot could have messed it up them two years, due to him taking some of the votes away from Clinton.

[phk]

I think you guys kind of misunderstood my post. It's my fault.

But in the sense of if the nation swings D+3 and than R+7. What state would be the most correlated to that.

[Mr. Taft Republican]

Ohio sounds about right

[Antonio the Sixth]

State with the smallest trend (ie with the swing closest to the national swing) by election :

1932 : Ohio
1936 : Arizona
1940 : Utah
1944 : California
1948 : Michigan
1952 : Kentucky
1956 : Florida
1960 : Pennsylvania
1964 : Indiana
1968 : Massachusetts
1972 : Kentucky
1976 : Indiana
1980 : Iowa
1984 : Maryland
1988 : Maine
1992 : New Mexico
1996 : Illinois
2000 : Michigan
2004 : Mississipi
2008 : Washington

[minionofmidas]

This table just adds up all the state trends from 56-60 to 04-08.

oh   0,3685
pa   0,3922
in   0,3956
il   0,4631
wa   0,5413
mo   0,5494
nm   0,5504
mi   0,572
va   0,5736
de   0,5738
md   0,6004
mn   0,6397
ny   0,6407
tx   0,6421
ca   0,6995
nj   0,7068
az   0,7267
co   0,7353
ks   0,7408
nv   0,7754
wy   0,7857
nh   0,8031
wi   0,8139
ut   0,8262
ky   0,8663
ct   0,8722
id    0,8768
ak   0,8915 *
ne   0,8952
wv   0,8973
ma   0,9053
nc   0,9509
mt   0,9845
or   1,0199
fl   1,0468
ia   1,0954
me   1,1112
tn   1,1256
dc   1,1587 **
nd   1,1932
ri   1,228
ok   1,2611
vt   1,302
sd   1,3262
hi   1,5703 *
sc   1,8663
ar   1,9208
la   2,03
ga   2,5383
al   3,2607
ms   3,7345

* from 60-64, for obvious reasons
** from 64-68, for obvious reasons