Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
Posts: 52,607
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« on: November 16, 2004, 06:03:12 PM » |
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Edwards is put on the Democratic ticket in 2004 and pundits wanted us to believe that suddenly southern states like Virginia and North Carolina - two big electoral prizes south of the Mason-Dixon - were in play.
In the end, Bush won Virginia by 8 points (just as he did in 2000) and he actually increased his lead in NC this year. The Kerry-Edwards ticket - just like the Gore-Lieberman team- suffered a 15 point defeat in the Tar Heel state. West Virginia was a state that many felt would go to Kerry with or without Edwards on the ticket. Edwards was selected and almost everyone agreed that this would only help. In the end, Bush won the state by 13 points - 7 points better than 2000.
My point: Isn't it alittle much to assume that the south will be in play if Edwards is the Presidential candidate in '08? The same thing with Governor Warner of Virginia. We heard this talk back in July. "Oh a southern on the ticket...put that state, that state and yeah that one too as tossups."When all was said and done, the Kerry-Edwards actually did worse in the south than Gore-Lieberman. So as I asked before, isn't it alittle much to think that the south will be in play if a southern is on the ticket?
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