NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

And there goes Minnick. Took NYT long enough to call it.

Wasn't there a thread on here not too long ago about Minnick being unbeatable, even though he was sticking to his pro-abortion beliefs? Or am I thinking of someone else?

[Sbane]

MN-08 isn't looking good for the Democrats. Bennett should win though, as has been echoed already.

[SvenssonRS]

And there goes Minnick. Took NYT long enough to call it.

Wasn't there a thread on here not too long ago about Minnick being unbeatable, even though he was sticking to his pro-abortion beliefs? Or am I thinking of someone else?

Not quite certain. Still, he was assumed to be unbeatable nonetheless - he had a 15% lead in almost every poll until now.

Labrador's won it by about 8%, too.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     I am ever so slightly amused by the Democrats pulling out every close race & retaining a majority of U.S. House seats in North Carolina of all places.

[BM]

Renee Ellmers defeating Etheridge is kind of surprising.

[cinyc]

WA:
Murray +14,005 (50.5% v 49.5%), with 62% reporting
King County only 55% in.


AK:
Write-ins (Murkowski) +7,242 (39.4% v 35.3%) with 70% reporting

What's out in AK is largely in the Bush - which only can help Murkowski (Native Associations backed her).  Plus, bush precincts are generally smaller, meaning fewer votes to begin with.  Again, as long as Alaskans can spell her name, Murkowski wins.

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

Shame that Lawson lost.

But North Carolina is an especially authoritarian state.

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

WA:
Murray +14,005 (50.5% v 49.5%), with 62% reporting
King County only 55% in.


AK:
Write-ins (Murkowski) +7,242 (39.4% v 35.3%) with 70% reporting

What's out in AK is largely in the Bush - which only can help Murkowski (Native Associations backed her).  Again, as long as Alaskans can spell her name, Murkowski wins.

Disgusting. What a way to end the night. I genuinely feel sick to my stomach knowing that that woman will be back in the Senate again.

[Associate Justice PiT]

And there goes Minnick. Took NYT long enough to call it.

Wasn't there a thread on here not too long ago about Minnick being unbeatable, even though he was sticking to his pro-abortion beliefs? Or am I thinking of someone else?

Not quite certain. Still, he was assumed to be unbeatable nonetheless - he had a 15% lead in almost every poll until now.

Labrador's won it by about 8%, too.

     M-D released a poll showing him up by only 3%. That was our first real clue of trouble for Minnick.

[Torie]

MN-08 isn't looking good for the Democrats. Bennett should win though, as has been echoed already.

It's Bennet, spelled unusually, very unusually, just like the name of my great, great, grandfather, who built in Montreal having emigrated there hired as an engineer from Scotland, the steam engine that powered the first steam boat across the Atlantic, the Royal William. I suspect we are related, maybe third cousins once removed (I am quite certain I am a generation ahead of him, because my clan breeds late), or something?   

[Sbane]

Ok, I am ready to call CA-11 for Mcnerney. It will be damn close, and perhaps a recount will happen, but I think Mcnerney will be on top when it's all said and done. Harmer just didn't get the numbers he needed out of San Joaquin and only won his home county of Contra Costa by 1. As long as Mcnerney wins by about a 14 point margin in Alameda, and holds up well in Santa Clara, he should win.

I suspect the GOP will get zip out of CA. But the redistricting commission now controls CD redistricting, so the GOP will not be totally wiped out come 2012, although I suspect they will still lose a couple of seats. CA given the national GOP is now a Dem bastion, and a reliable one. In some ways, almost as reliable as NY, if not more so in some ways.

I think Calvert really needs to watch out. I would say the same for Drier and Bono-Mack, but they seem like decent candidates. They should survive till a wave sweeps them out.

California has become a democratic stronghold, much more than during the Bush administration. Obama has a 54% approval here, while being about 45% nationally. Kerry won 54% here, while winning 48% nationwide.

[memphis]

WA:
Murray +14,005 (50.5% v 49.5%), with 62% reporting
King County only 55% in.


AK:
Write-ins (Murkowski) +7,242 (39.4% v 35.3%) with 70% reporting

What's out in AK is largely in the Bush - which only can help Murkowski (Native Associations backed her).  Plus, bush precincts are generally smaller, meaning fewer votes to begin with.  Again, as long as Alaskans can spell her name, Murkowski wins.

They don't even have to spell her name. Milkcowsky works just fine.

[GMantis]

CNN has called CA-47 for Sanchez. Wonder if that ad helped or hurt?

[Joe Republic]

Has a write-in campaign ever been more successful? 

Didn't Strom Thurmond win as a write-in candidate?

Yes.  Possibly until tonight, Thurmond was the only person ever elected to the Senate as a write-in candidate.

[Joe Republic]

Dewey defeats Truman in Nevada.

Polling had him down 49-45 consistently other than the PPP poll and he was able to pull it off.

On what basis do you say Reid has won?

Well if the ultraconservative Vegas voted for him...

I'm sorry... what?

[Torie]

AP declares Hanabusa winner

What do I need to put up as my sig again, or something? I don't remember the exact deals of our bet. Congratulations Memphis. Pity I had to lose a bet due to the loss of a man that I admire. Such is life. I would give you Oberstar if you give me Djou in a milisecond.

[Torie]

Dewey defeats Truman in Nevada.

Polling had him down 49-45 consistently other than the PPP poll and he was able to pull it off.

On what basis do you say Reid has won?

Well if the ultraconservative Vegas voted for him...

I'm sorry... what?

Indeed. What? 

[Tender Branson]

So, it looks like 243-192 now.

A net gain of 64 for the Republicans. I predicted +67 for them.

[Ronnie]

AP declares Hanabusa winner

What do I need to put up as my sig again, or something? I don't remember the exact deals of our bet. Congratulations Memphis. Pity I had to lose a bet due to the loss of a man that I admire. Such is life. I would give you Oberstar if you give me Djou in a milisecond.

I agree with Torie here.  Djou is an awesome guy and didn't deserve to lose.

[cinyc]

So, it looks like 243-192 now.

A net gain of 64 for the Republicans. I predicted +67 for them.

CA-11 will likely flip to the Dems, given what's out.
CA-20 is bizarre - supposedly only 3 precincts of the Republican-leaning county is in with 40K votes.
WA-02 looks like it will hold for the Republican, given what is out.

64 sounds like the magic number.  Give Torie a prize!

[Sbane]

CNN has called CA-47 for Sanchez. Wonder if that ad helped or hurt?

It hurt undoubtedly. Though it was a while back so it probably didn't have much of an effect at all. I had a feeling Sanchez would hold this one comfortably.

[Nichlemn]

Most of you are focusing on the close races, but I find it amusing that John Hoeven somehow outperformed his already stratospheric polling and won 76-22, the largest margin of victory of any opposed Senate candidate period (Inouye is close behind). That's gotta be a record for a pickup, right? It's probably a recent record for a Senate candidate with major party opposition (I know George Mitchell won 80% in Maine in 1988).

[cinyc]

Djou losing and Ambercrombie crushing Aiona in the HI-Gov race should teach us all one thing:

Never trust a Hawai'i poll done by a Haole from the mainland.

[Јas]

CO-SEN:
Buck lead expands to +9,456 (47.6% v 47.0%), 79% reporting

Denver 57% reporting, Boulder 64%.

[Joe Republic]

By only 6 points, RI-01 has elected the nation's second openly gay freshman congressman.

I *think* that's Winfield's district.  If so, LOL.