NV/PPP: Neck-and-neck (user search)
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  NV/PPP: Neck-and-neck (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV/PPP: Neck-and-neck  (Read 4222 times)
Torie
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« on: November 01, 2010, 10:17:30 AM »

Reid's lead among early voters gives him at least a pebble of hope.

The poll does not make a lot of sense to me when it comes to the Reid leads by 4% among early voters bit. The early voting partisan breakdown was 51% Dem, 49% GOP as between the two parties, and the poll shows Angle ahead among independents by 14% or something, with each candidate getting the same percentage of votes from the other party. So it doesn't add up (Angle should be ahead by about 2% among early voters, or something, not down by 4%), unless voters of the same affiliation, or lack thereof, are quite a bit more Dem among early voters than non early to be voters. I strongly doubt that. It may be that the Tuesday vote will be a bit more GOP in affiliation, since there is not much early voting action in the heavily GOP cow counties, which were not open that much, and only had one polling station.

Or the crosstabs are off, given the high MOE.
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