CT: Rasmussen: Lindasaurus (R) facing extinction

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Connecticut Senator by Rasmussen on 2010-10-24

Summary: D: 56%, R: 43%, I: 1%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[DrScholl]

Good news. I think the final result will end up looking like that.

[mypalfish]

If there was a "wave" coming, this race would have been closer. 

[Whacker77]

Are you calling off the high seas warning?

[Meeker]

Nice.

[Associate Justice PiT]

If there was a "wave" coming, this race would have been closer. 

     Nevermind that she was ultimately not taken seriously by anyone due to her history with the WWF/WWE. The people in the races do matter.

[Niemeyerite]

I predicted a 57-43% result with dick winning. I was probably right

[albaleman]

WOW. I laughed at the poll from Suffolk U, but maybe it wasn't really that bad.

[redcommander]

If there was a "wave" coming, this race would have been closer.  

There is a wave, the wave will just be smaller in the senate races because of the crap that was nominated in some contests (Delaware, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Nevada, Both New York Senate seats, and Illinois for example.) If Republicans had nominated Jodi Rell or Rob Simmons, we could have expected this race to have been a toss up, or at least leans democrat right now. McMahon is experiencing what Whitman is in California. The voters don't want to be constantly barraged by campaign fliers, ads, and calls just because you think your money can buy a senate seat. Fiorina is doing the smart move by keeping her campaign down to a respectable level despite her CEO experience, and her poll numbers have remained close as a result.

[Eraserhead]

This one keeps flopping between a big Blumenthal lead and a small one. He's going to win but I'm not sure about the margin.

[xavier110]

the wave will just be smaller in the senate races because of the crap that was nominated in some contests (Delaware, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Nevada, Both New York Senate seats, and Illinois for example.)

That's, like, every competitive Senate seat. LOL.

[redcommander]

the wave will just be smaller in the senate races because of the crap that was nominated in some contests (Delaware, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Nevada, Both New York Senate seats, and Illinois for example.)

That's, like, every competitive Senate seat. LOL.

No, North Dakota, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Florida, and Pennsylvania nominated good candidates.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Kirk is a crap candidate? Which Republican could win Illinois? At least Kirk is ahead in the polls, albeit a small margin, for now.

[redcommander]

Kirk is a crap candidate? Which Republican could win Illinois? At least Kirk is ahead in the polls, albeit a small margin, for now.

He's not the best one. I apologize, crap might be a little harsh, but the race shouldn't be that close considering Giannoulias's troubles. I think Roskam could have done better.

[cinyc]

If Republicans had nominated Jodi Rell or Rob Simmons, we could have expected this race to have been a toss up, or at least leans democrat right now. McMahon is experiencing what Whitman is in California. The voters don't want to be constantly barraged by campaign fliers, ads, and calls just because you think your money can buy a senate seat. Fiorina is doing the smart move by keeping her campaign down to a respectable level despite her CEO experience, and her poll numbers have remained close as a result.

Once again, the only thing that keeps the CT race even close IS McMahon's money.  Without it, the race would revert to the mean in CT - meaning, Blumenthal would be up by 20 or so, similar to the New York races.  He has been the very popular (for reasons that totally escape me) Connecticut Attorney General for 20 years.  Simmons didn't have the money to keep the race even close to competitive.  Rell didn't have the interest.

The reason Blumenthal (and most other Democrats who have seen recent gains) is surging is because he's been running negative ads against McMahon.  Democrats came out with their final barrage of negative attacks a few weeks earlier than usual this cycle because they were sucking so much in the polls.  That gives Republicans time to explain and counterattack.    The poll numbers should start to reflect this later in the week.