ME: Pan Atlantic SMS Group: Democrats far ahead in both races

[Tender Branson]

The poll also shows U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree, an incumbent Democrat, with support from about 49 percent of respondents in the 1st Congressional District and her Republican challenger Dean Scontras with support from about 33 percent. About 18 percent said they were undecided.

In Maine's 2nd Congressional District, U.S. Rep. Mike Michard, also an incumbent Democrat, is leading Republican candidate Jason Levesque, 49 percent to 30 percent. About 22 percent of respondents in the 2nd District said they were undecided.

...

500 likely Maine voters were surveyed between Oct. 11 and Oct. 15 by live interviewers. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.

http://www.onlinesentinel.com/LePage-on-top-in-another-new-poll.html

[Niemeyerite]

these districts are so overpolled...

[cinyc]

these districts are so overpolled...

Actually, the districts are underpolled with reliable polling.  Whenever a pollster polls a 2 CD state, it seems like they poll the CDs too.  And even if the statewide poll is of your typical 400-500 LVs, the CD polls are of half of those respondents - which have larger than usual MoEs.  Rhode Island is another place where you will see this - but since the races are rarely competitive, it doesn't matter.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

these districts are so overpolled...

This is probably the first and last time Maine's Congressional districts will get this much polling.

[cinyc]

these districts are so overpolled...

This is probably the first and last time Maine's Congressional districts will get this much polling.

As long as Maine retains 2 CDs and there's a close race in Maine, we'll see the same pattern - high MoE polls of the CD races.  And Critical Insights almost always polls the state, regardless of how close the races are.