WA-08/PPP: Reichert barely ahead

[JohnnyLongtorso]

http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/10/9/WA-8/13/Csnf1

Dave Reichert (R) - 49
Suzan DelBene (D) - 46

Murray and Rossi are tied at 49% each in the district.

[Meeker]

Looks to be another heartbreaking 52-48 or thereabouts.

[bgwah]

This is pretty surprising to me. Just a month or so ago I was thinking Reichert would win by double digits... I don't know what's happening here, especially given how competitive WA-2 and Senate are. Actually I sort of do--Reichert hasn't really been campaigning. Not running ads, refusing to debate, etc... I didn't think it would matter at all given the wave nature of 2010. Also, DelBene is kind of a conservative-ish/libertarian Democrat, which fits the district well.

And while I just can't see him losing this year, this is a pretty bad sign for 2012, especially if the new 10th district requires taking out the most Republican portions of the district.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

The 49-49 number for Murray isn't too bad considering that the result was 45.5-53.0 during the primary.

[Dgov]

The 49-49 number for Murray isn't too bad considering that the result was 45.5-53.0 during the primary.

Well, this is the state's median district, so being tied here basically means being tied or close to tied statewide.

[You kip if you want to...]

The 49-49 number for Murray isn't too bad considering that the result was 45.5-53.0 during the primary.

Well, this is the state's median district, so being tied here basically means being tied or close to tied statewide.

What was the result here for Gregoire/Rossi 2004?

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

The 49-49 number for Murray isn't too bad considering that the result was 45.5-53.0 during the primary.

Well, this is the state's median district, so being tied here basically means being tied or close to tied statewide.

What was the result here for Gregoire/Rossi 2004?

Rossi won the district 54-44 in 2004. It's easy to forget that Rossi's stomping grounds are the Eastside and that the biggest swings against Obama and towards Rossi happened in this district.

[Meeker]

Yeah, Rossi's from the 8th and still won it (narrowly) in 2008 when he lost statewide 53-47. Him being tied here is not especially good news for him.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     It would be the height of irony if Reichert survied 2006 & 2008 only to lose in 2010.

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I smell an upset.