Which Senate candidates will win all their state's counties?
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  Which Senate candidates will win all their state's counties?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Which Senate candidates will win all their state's counties?  (Read 842 times)
nclib
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« on: September 28, 2010, 07:34:51 PM »
« edited: September 28, 2010, 07:39:23 PM by nclib »
Perhaps...

Dems

Inouye, HI - very likely
Leahy, VT - very likely
Schumer, NY - possibly but may miss a few rural upstate
Coons, DE - conceivably but most of the anti O'Donnell swing will be in New Castle where Coons will win solidly

GOP

Thune, SD (of course)
Hoeven, ND - Native American counties are the only possibilities not to
Coburn, OK - probably
Grassley, IA - possibly (will be close in Johnson)
Crapo, ID - prob. will miss Blaine
Moran, KS - prob. will miss Wyandotte and Douglas
DeMint, SC - if black turnout is low and/or a sizeably DeMint (or third party), perhaps
Lee, UT - may miss Summit
McCain, AZ - an outside chance, but a lot will depend on turnout
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2010, 07:53:14 PM »
I would be shocked if O'Donnell doesn't win Sussex county.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2010, 07:58:09 PM »
I can say with near 100% certainty that neither Schumer or Coons will win every county. Schumer still lost Hamilton county in 2004 when he won over 70% of the state's votes. He'd be very lucky to get 65% this year. Biden only beat O'Donnell in Sussex County by a handful of votes in 2008. This isn't 2008. Coons isn't Biden. The witch lady should blow Coons out of the water there.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2010, 08:00:57 PM »
Coons won't win Sussex or Kent, Schumer will lose all of the McCain counties and possibly more.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2010, 08:03:41 PM »
Quote from: nclib on September 28, 2010, 07:34:51 PM
Hoeven, ND - Native American counties are the only possibilities not to

He will definitely lose Rolette and possibly Sioux counties.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2010, 08:22:40 PM »
« Edited: September 28, 2010, 08:24:58 PM by The Demon's Façade »
The only Republican who won Wyandotte county recently was Roberts in 2002 who won the state with 82% of the vote against a Libertarian and Reform party candidate, no dem ran. Moran won't win it. He might get Douglas as Brownback won it by 5% with 69% of the vote statewide in 2004.


Schumer will lose Hamilton county as both Schumer in 2004 and I beleive Client number 9 lost it in 2006. Client #9 also lost a few Southern tier counties in 2006 but just a few despite getting 69% statewide. Schumer got 74% in 2004.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2010, 09:19:13 PM »
If Angle manages to win by 10 points or so, she could win every county in Nevada.  Ayotte could win every county in New Hampshire.
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cinyc
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2010, 10:41:10 PM »
Quote from: Ebowed on September 28, 2010, 08:00:57 PM
Coons won't win Sussex or Kent, Schumer will lose all of the McCain counties and possibly more.

My guess is Kent will be close, as the government employees come out to vote for Coons to offset the rural vote for O'Donnell.  She will win Sussex handily.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2010, 06:17:16 AM »
Quote from: nclib on September 28, 2010, 07:34:51 PM
Perhaps...

Dems

Inouye, HI - very likely
Leahy, VT - very likely
Schumer, NY - possibly but may miss a few rural upstate
Coons, DE - conceivably but most of the anti O'Donnell swing will be in New Castle where Coons will win solidly

GOP

Thune, SD (of course)
Hoeven, ND - Native American counties are the only possibilities not to
Coburn, OK - probably
Grassley, IA - possibly (will be close in Johnson)
Crapo, ID - prob. will miss Blaine
Moran, KS - prob. will miss Wyandotte and Douglas
DeMint, SC - if black turnout is low and/or a sizeably DeMint (or third party), perhaps
Lee, UT - may miss Summit
McCain, AZ - an outside chance, but a lot will depend on turnout

Sorry, but whatever the candidate the Democrats nominate will carry Shannon county, South Dakota!
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2010, 06:48:58 AM »
But democrats don't have a candidate, CARLHYDEN
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memphis
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2010, 08:37:37 AM »
Quote from: wormyguy on September 28, 2010, 09:19:13 PM
If Angle manages to win by 10 points or so, she could win every county in Nevada.  Ayotte could win every county in New Hampshire.

About as likely as Mr. Greene winning by 10.
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