NM-03 Shocker: PPP: Lujan (D) only up six
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  NM-03 Shocker: PPP: Lujan (D) only up six
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Author Topic: NM-03 Shocker: PPP: Lujan (D) only up six  (Read 1742 times)
King
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« on: September 27, 2010, 10:10:00 PM »

Senator Tom Udalls old seat (about 60-70% Dem usually).  He won with almost 70% of the vote last time.

Lujan 49%
Mullins 43%

http://newmexicoindependent.com/63930/lujan-leads-mullins-49-43-daily-kosppp-poll-says
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2010, 10:21:40 PM »

We have seen this before. Dems always underpoll here.
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Dgov
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2010, 10:39:06 PM »

Senator Tom Udalls old seat (about 60-70% Dem usually).  He won with almost 70% of the vote last time.

Lujan 49%
Mullins 43%

http://newmexicoindependent.com/63930/lujan-leads-mullins-49-43-daily-kosppp-poll-says

Part of that was Udall's own personal popularity in the district.  It's not all that Democratic (the parts outside Santa Fe are about even), and the Dems have a sinker nominee here in Lujan.
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Torie
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« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2010, 10:40:30 PM »
« Edited: September 27, 2010, 10:43:24 PM by Torie »

This might be the most fascinating CD in America. Hispanics who were here before the Pilgrims, Pueblo Native Americans who were here to greet the Hispanics, Nuke scientists up there in Los Alamos,  hippies and Hollywood hangers' on and spaced out trust fund babies in Taos, Latte liberals in Santa Fe, artsy, gay, and green, and galleries and restaurants operators and the like worried about the anemic state of the high end tourist industry, and not interested in class warfare, and then "Little Texas" which votes like those parts of west Texas with oil or cattle, or both.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2010, 10:45:48 PM »

A lead is a lead, the district is D+7, so I don't see it as one that will flip. Lots of Democrats will have reduced majorities, but still get re-elected this year.
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J. J.
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2010, 11:10:59 PM »

PPP has been giving some weird numbers.
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King
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2010, 02:01:10 AM »

This might be the most fascinating CD in America. Hispanics who were here before the Pilgrims, Pueblo Native Americans who were here to greet the Hispanics, Nuke scientists up there in Los Alamos,  hippies and Hollywood hangers' on and spaced out trust fund babies in Taos, Latte liberals in Santa Fe, artsy, gay, and green, and galleries and restaurants operators and the like worried about the anemic state of the high end tourist industry, and not interested in class warfare, and then "Little Texas" which votes like those parts of west Texas with oil or cattle, or both.

It's a little taste of the America that the Tea Party hopes to do away with.
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Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2010, 02:21:37 AM »

This might be the most fascinating CD in America. Hispanics who were here before the Pilgrims, Pueblo Native Americans who were here to greet the Hispanics, Nuke scientists up there in Los Alamos,  hippies and Hollywood hangers' on and spaced out trust fund babies in Taos, Latte liberals in Santa Fe, artsy, gay, and green, and galleries and restaurants operators and the like worried about the anemic state of the high end tourist industry, and not interested in class warfare, and then "Little Texas" which votes like those parts of west Texas with oil or cattle, or both.

It's a little taste of the America that the Tea Party hopes to do away with.

Uh, what? What are you even claiming that the "Tea Party hopes to do away with" here?
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Ebowed
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2010, 02:34:15 AM »

This might be the most fascinating CD in America. Hispanics who were here before the Pilgrims, Pueblo Native Americans who were here to greet the Hispanics, Nuke scientists up there in Los Alamos,  hippies and Hollywood hangers' on and spaced out trust fund babies in Taos, Latte liberals in Santa Fe, artsy, gay, and green, and galleries and restaurants operators and the like worried about the anemic state of the high end tourist industry, and not interested in class warfare, and then "Little Texas" which votes like those parts of west Texas with oil or cattle, or both.

It's a little taste of the America that the Tea Party hopes to do away with.

Uh, what? What are you even claiming that the "Tea Party hopes to do away with" here?

Presumably everything except the 'little Texas' part.
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King
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« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2010, 03:19:56 AM »

This might be the most fascinating CD in America. Hispanics who were here before the Pilgrims, Pueblo Native Americans who were here to greet the Hispanics, Nuke scientists up there in Los Alamos,  hippies and Hollywood hangers' on and spaced out trust fund babies in Taos, Latte liberals in Santa Fe, artsy, gay, and green, and galleries and restaurants operators and the like worried about the anemic state of the high end tourist industry, and not interested in class warfare, and then "Little Texas" which votes like those parts of west Texas with oil or cattle, or both.

It's a little taste of the America that the Tea Party hopes to do away with.

Uh, what? What are you even claiming that the "Tea Party hopes to do away with" here?

I don't define Tea Party by the 25% of them who like Ron Paul like you do, Libertas.  I define them by the 75% who miss George W. Bush.
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Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl
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« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2010, 03:32:55 AM »

This might be the most fascinating CD in America. Hispanics who were here before the Pilgrims, Pueblo Native Americans who were here to greet the Hispanics, Nuke scientists up there in Los Alamos,  hippies and Hollywood hangers' on and spaced out trust fund babies in Taos, Latte liberals in Santa Fe, artsy, gay, and green, and galleries and restaurants operators and the like worried about the anemic state of the high end tourist industry, and not interested in class warfare, and then "Little Texas" which votes like those parts of west Texas with oil or cattle, or both.

It's a little taste of the America that the Tea Party hopes to do away with.

Uh, what? What are you even claiming that the "Tea Party hopes to do away with" here?

Presumably everything except the 'little Texas' part.

I can't say I've seen any indication that the "Tea Party hopes to do away" with all of those groups. Do away with the deficit, yes, but not do away with a whole laundry list of random groups of people in New Mexico.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #11 on: September 28, 2010, 03:44:52 AM »

It's not a 70% Democratic district. Lujan got 57% in 2008, thanks in part to a strong indy showing that it's sort of hard to say whether the challenge came from the left, the right, or just the white. (Left of the Republicans though, that much is for sure.)
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #12 on: September 28, 2010, 12:32:17 PM »

Lujan was up 6 the last time they polled this one.
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King
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« Reply #13 on: September 28, 2010, 12:46:27 PM »

It's not a 70% Democratic district. Lujan got 57% in 2008, thanks in part to a strong indy showing that it's sort of hard to say whether the challenge came from the left, the right, or just the white. (Left of the Republicans though, that much is for sure.)

The independent challenger was Carol Miller, a perennial Green Party candidate in the state and well known Santa Fe "environmental and public health activist."  It came from the left and white.  White and right voted for East.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2010, 05:55:27 PM »

Must I remind everyone that Democrats always underpoll in northern New Mexico?
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