Yeah I'm sure Obama only has a 45% Approval rating in Connecticut...
Among LIKELY voters? It's certainly possible. Democrats aren't very motivated to vote this cycle. Republicans and conservative-leaning independents are.
What surprises me is that 13% of CT likely voters haven't heard enough about McMahon to have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her. She's been saturating the NYC airwaves. I can only imagine how much advertising she's been buying in Hartford/New Haven and on cable.
Do you think she can pull it off Sam? So far, she has been a very skillful candidate. If she gets much closer, we are down to turnout models.
I still think Blumenthal needs another self-induced stumble before McMahon has any reasonable chance of winning. But McMahon's money has bought a great campaign team, including a good op research team that might give Blumenthal a little push toward self-implosion.
