CT: Quinnipiac University: CT-SEN: Quinnipiac says Blumenthal by 6 over McMahon
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  CT: Quinnipiac University: CT-SEN: Quinnipiac says Blumenthal by 6 over McMahon
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Author Topic: CT: Quinnipiac University: CT-SEN: Quinnipiac says Blumenthal by 6 over McMahon  (Read 563 times)
Sam Spade
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« on: September 14, 2010, 10:38:03 AM »

New Poll: Connecticut Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2010-09-14

Summary: D: 51%, R: 45%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Torie
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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2010, 10:51:58 AM »

Do you think she can pull it off Sam?  So far, she has been a very skillful candidate. If she gets much closer, we are down to turnout models.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2010, 10:52:50 AM »

Quinnipiac has been atrocious this cycle. Can we get a better pollster?
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2010, 10:53:12 AM »

Quinnipiac has been atrocious this cycle. Can we get a better pollster?
Rass polled it a few days ago.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2010, 10:56:28 AM »

Yeah I'm sure Obama only has a 45% Approval rating in Connecticut...
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2010, 12:44:43 PM »

Yeah I'm sure Obama only has a 45% Approval rating in Connecticut...

Among LIKELY voters?  It's certainly possible.  Democrats aren't very motivated to vote this cycle.  Republicans and conservative-leaning independents are.

What surprises me is that 13% of CT likely voters haven't heard enough about McMahon to have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of her.  She's been saturating the NYC airwaves.  I can only imagine how much advertising she's been buying in Hartford/New Haven and on cable.

Do you think she can pull it off Sam?  So far, she has been a very skillful candidate. If she gets much closer, we are down to turnout models.

I still think Blumenthal needs another self-induced stumble before McMahon has any reasonable chance of winning.  But McMahon's money has bought a great campaign team, including a good op research team that might give Blumenthal a little push toward self-implosion.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2010, 12:44:51 PM »

Yeah I'm sure Obama only has a 45% Approval rating in Connecticut...
^^^^

That just seems way off.


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cinyc
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« Reply #7 on: September 14, 2010, 12:56:59 PM »

FWIW, Blumenthal's lead over McMahon has fallen in every Quinnipiac poll taken this year.

It was 41 points in January, 33 in March, 25 in May, 20 points in June, 17 in July, 10 in August and now 6 points.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: September 14, 2010, 01:01:08 PM »

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/14/the-polls-have-tightened-not-so-fast/#more-925

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