NV-03/Mason Dixon: Titus (D) and Heck (R) tied
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  NV-03/Mason Dixon: Titus (D) and Heck (R) tied
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Author Topic: NV-03/Mason Dixon: Titus (D) and Heck (R) tied  (Read 750 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: August 15, 2010, 09:13:05 AM »



HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from August 9 through August 11, 2010. A total of 625 registered Nevada voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All said they vote regularly in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.

The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

This poll also includes an over-sampling 400 likely voters in the Third Congressional District. This over-sampling is of additional voters added to the statewide survey in order to increase the sample size within the district. These additional respondents were only asked the questions relative to the Third District race. The margin for error on these results is plus or minus 5%.

SAMPLE FIGURES
Men - 305 (49 percent)
Women - 320 (51percent)

Democrats - 268 (43 percent)
Republicans - 251 (40 percent)
Independents - 106 (17 percent)

REGION
Clark County - 405 interviews
Washoe County - 125 interviews
Rural Nevada - 95 interviews

http://www.lvrj.com/hottopics/politics/polls/august_2010_3_polls.html
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Lunar
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« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2010, 03:51:32 PM »

Better for Titus than I had expected.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2010, 04:19:37 PM »

Shouldn't there be more republicans in the sample? and also more men?
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #3 on: August 15, 2010, 10:06:17 PM »

Shouldn't there be more republicans in the sample? and also more men?

This district has a 46%-37% Democratic registration edge.  With the enthusiasm gap, 43%-40% sounds about right.
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Sbane
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2010, 04:29:43 PM »

Shouldn't there be more republicans in the sample? and also more men?

Actually the poll is oversampling men. Usually they make up about 48% of the voting population.
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Bo
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2010, 05:12:15 PM »

It appears Heck has a lot of potential to define himself. If I had to guess, I'd say Heck would narrowly win in the end due to the GOP tide, but it could still go either way.
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