Dennis Kucinich and redistricting

[nclib]

With Ohio expected to lose two seats in reapportionment, population loss in NE Ohio, and a majority Cleveland-based black district necessary, will Kucinich have a seat after redistricting?

I know the Cleveland suburbs are pretty liberal, but are they liberal enough to elect Kucinich? Would he get through the Democratic primary?

(Moderators: as I posted in the Atlas board, there isn't really a good board for threads like this. In the meantime, feel free to move this thread if necessary.)

[Bo]

I think Kucinich and Sutton might be placed in one district, since Fudge's district is protected by the VRA and Kaptur's district is too far way. I think Kucinich would have a good chance of winning a primary in this new district, considering his charisma and appeal to the Democratic base. However, it would depend exactly on how much of Kucinich's and Sutton's former territory ends up in the new district.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I too expect Kucinich to be put in Sutton's district, in which case I hope he loses, even if it means that Sutton (who isn't much better) stays in the House.

[Lunar]

With Ohio expected to lose two seats in reapportionment, population loss in NE Ohio, and a majority Cleveland-based black district necessary, will Kucinich have a seat after redistricting?

I know the Cleveland suburbs are pretty liberal, but are they liberal enough to elect Kucinich? Would he get through the Democratic primary?

Well, Kucinich did get elected as mayor of Cleveland, even if he got lukewarm results

I think it really comes down to who controls redistricting, and where those losses are occurring, no?   I'm not sure where it's happening in Ohio, but, like, in NY, I know when we lose a seat, it's not like you can just assign that loss seat anywhere you please, it has to be upstate somewhere as that's where the relative population loss is.

All t he more reason everyone should be happy that Strickland is running one of the best incumbent governor campaigns in the country right now

[minionofmidas]

I'm not sure how protected Fudge's seat is, anyhow. It may be quite literally impossible to draw an actually Black-plurality district in Ohio after 2010. (Of course, you can still pack all the Black communities into a single constituency... which would be loosely based on Fudge's district Black plurality or not. And presumably would re-elect her.)

[Dgov]

I'm not sure how protected Fudge's seat is, anyhow. It may be quite literally impossible to draw an actually Black-plurality district in Ohio after 2010. (Of course, you can still pack all the Black communities into a single constituency... which would be loosely based on Fudge's district Black plurality or not. And presumably would re-elect her.)

Maybe not, but you can get really close.

Although that district is almost certainly shifting Westward after 2010 no matter who draws the lines, as Western Cleveland is far blacker (~20% I think) than Cleveland's Eastern Exurbs.  Which means Kucinich's district is going to be more suburban than his present one, so I could see him losing to another sitting Democrat.  It depends on how the 13th gets drawn out.