OH: Ipsos: Portman continues lead on Fisher
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  OH: Ipsos: Portman continues lead on Fisher
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Author Topic: OH: Ipsos: Portman continues lead on Fisher  (Read 412 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« on: August 10, 2010, 05:27:31 PM »

New Poll: Ohio Senator by Ipsos on 2010-8-7

Summary: D: 36%, R: 43%, I: 0%, U: 21%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2010, 05:30:47 PM »

"But Rassy is the only one since March to have Portman in the lead"



EAT IT HACKS!!!


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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: August 10, 2010, 07:00:42 PM »

"But Rassy is the only one since March to have Portman in the lead"



EAT IT HACKS!!!




And now that statement is no longer true. Point?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2010, 12:42:48 PM »

"But Rassy is the only one since March to have Portman in the lead"



EAT IT HACKS!!!




And now that statement is no longer true. Point?

The point is to drive home how weak an arguement it was in the first place that simply because only Rassy had him in the lead, the Dems were going to win. The Financial advantage alone is staggering and even those precious "non Rassy" polls were within the MOE 40-39 or 40-38. Portman is the perfect statewide candidate in most settings based on his experience, bipartisan demenor, and campaign skills (both fundraising and his record of out performing his districts partisanship by about 10 points). And historically despite being a smaller regions, SW Ohio Republicans have done well statewide (The Taft family for instance). His only drawback was his service as OMB and Trade Rep. Knowing this, one would be worried, from the Dem perspective, by such poll numbers even though nominally Fisher had the lead.

This poll could easily be wrong and exaggerating Portmans advantage and my point would still be right.

What's really telling, is certain operatives in the Democratic party, agree with me, especially when it comes to the fundraising disparity.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2010, 12:55:02 PM »

I'm considering moving this race from "Toss-up" to "Slight Republican". At the end of the day, Ohio is still a somewhat conservative state, Portman has more money, and the environment heavily favors him.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2010, 03:55:49 PM »
« Edited: August 11, 2010, 04:02:58 PM by WEB Dubois »

Your point is well taken, the last polls taken on this race, were Fisher and Strickland getting closer not further apart.  Kasich lead down from 7 to 3 this month, same with Fisher 6 down to a couple of points and this were the Rasmussen polls.

Money doesn't mean everything, had it been for money DeWine would have beaten Brown.  The Dems have an enthusiasm gap not a money gap and the DNC who will outraise the RNC will invest heavily on this race right after Labor day.

I think the Mason Dixon poll concerning the MO race and this poll is heavily exaggerated well it will be close at election day.
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