ND AL: Rasmussen: Pomeroy down only 3 pt

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

North Dakota Survey of 500 Likely Voters 
July 21-22, 2010
 

Election 2010: North Dakota House of Reps
 
Rick Berg (R)
 49%
 
Earl Pomeroy (D)
 46%
 
Some Other Candidate
 1%
 
Not Sure
 5%
 
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_house_of_representatives_election/north_dakota/election_2010_north_dakota_house_of_representatives

[Associate Justice PiT]

     Still bad numbers for Pomeroy, but his position is improving.

[feeblepizza]

Great. It'll be interesting to watch this race come November. Hopefully Pomeroy looses by a bigger margin than we can see now.

[timmer123]

Pomeroy doesn't have a chance.

Even if he could recover, the Hoeven landslide will sweep him away.

I bet the same thing happens to Stephanie Sandlin in S.D.  John Thune with no opponent will help the whole Republican ticket

[Filuwaúrdjan]

John Thune with no opponent will help the whole Republican ticket

...how?

(not that I doubt that SD is vulnerable).

[timmer123]

John Thune with no opponent will help the whole Republican ticket

...how?

(not that I doubt that SD is vulnerable).

Anti-Obama atmosphere, plus Republicans heavily favored in Governor race, no competition in Senate race.  How do coattails ever help? They just do.  Sandlin is in trouble.  I'm counting on her losing

[Meeker]

John Thune with no opponent will help the whole Republican ticket

...how?

(not that I doubt that SD is vulnerable).

Anti-Obama atmosphere, plus Republicans heavily favored in Governor race, no competition in Senate race.  How do coattails ever help? They just do.  Sandlin is in trouble.  I'm counting on her losing

Actually it is known how coattails help. Coattails are either caused by infrequent voters showing up to cast their ballots in favor of popular candidates that they'd like to make sure get elected or by a high profile candidate campaigning on a winning message that rallies voters to the entire party slate and not just the given candidate. Those infrequent or rallied voters then carry that support down the line for the same party as the top of the ticket candidate and thus cause down ballot candidates to perform better. However, when the aforementioned popular candidate is running unopposed it heavily negates the enthusiasm for these infrequent voters to show up because, well, the popular incumbent is already assured of election and it also negates the ability for the popular incumbent to rally support because, well, he isn't running a campaign.

In other words: You have no idea what the hell you're talking about.

[The Mikado]

Meeker beat me to it, but running unopposed is hardly good for turnout and actually hurts your supporters downballot.

[Dan the Roman]

Meeker beat me to it, but running unopposed is hardly good for turnout and actually hurts your supporters downballot.

Which is why Democrats in Texas wanted Bush to go unopposed in 1998.  Had he, Sharp would have won the Lt. Governors race and succeeded in 2001 to the governorship.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yeah I don't see how voters are going to think "Oh well this guy is unopposed so I guess I have to vote for him. And then I'll vote for every candidate of his party as well too."

[Bo]

Pomeroy doesn't have a chance.

Even if he could recover, the Hoeven landslide will sweep him away.

I bet the same thing happens to Stephanie Sandlin in S.D.  John Thune with no opponent will help the whole Republican ticket

Actually, if Thune is running unopposed, that will hurt the GOP ticket since less Republicans will bother to show up to vote.

[timmer123]

I give the Republicans of South Dakota more credit than that.  I still vote every time despite knowing my candidates will likely lose in the Democrat leaning area I live in.

It's been widely gauged that Reps/Conservatives are much more active/likely to vote in this cycle.
I stand by my prediction that the coattails from our big wins in the Gov/Sen race will be a boost to Kristi Noem in the House race.

[Meeker]

Pomeroy doesn't have a chance.

Even if he could recover, the Hoeven landslide will sweep him away.

I bet the same thing happens to Stephanie Sandlin in S.D.  John Thune with no opponent will help the whole Republican ticket

Actually, if Thune is running unopposed, that will hurt the GOP ticket since less Republicans will bother to show up to vote.

Posting the same thing other people have already said in the thread doesn't make you seem smarter. In fact it does the opposite.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

I'm not exactly sure why we're talking about South Dakota here all of a sudden, but the state shouldn't experience a dearth of Republican voters this year. GOPers may not turn out for the Senate race, but they'll turn out for the House race and the race for governor.

The Senate seat is just one of a larger chunk of extremely competitive and/or open statewide seats.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unlike in SD, Earl Pomeroy and Hoeven and Kent Conrad have been reelected over and over agan and aren't seen as ideologues unlike in SD, Heseath Sandler may be seen as more partisan and the same thing as Dorgan.  I see us keeping ND and losing SD.