reagan84
Rookie
Posts: 66
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« on: November 08, 2010, 10:34:24 PM » |
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Agree with Derek's map except Dean would have won California.
As for the Nadar effect, 50% to Gore, 30% to Bush, 20% stay home. The combination of Buchanan and other 3rd party candidates hurt Bush almost as much as Nadar hurt Gore.
Dean never would have been nominated in 2000. If Gore declined, it probably would have been Bill Bradley.
Dean would have done a bit better in '04 because the base would turn out strongly but still would not have beaten W. He'd get killed in the south and heartland and lose the Midwest except for IL.
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