2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

PALADINO WON!

I don't understand this result.  The guy is slime.  looks like voters are just overthrowing the establishment and replacing them with random person x

[Meeker]

NY-15 called for Rangel. He's got 53%

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

PPP are looking like pimps after this one. It must be said.

That is true. PPP has another in the bag.

If you can admit that PPP nailed this one, why can't you admit that O'Donnell is going to be defeated in November? It would take a literal miracle for her to turn those Favorable numbers around.

Get back to me with what the polls look like in mid to late October.

I agree that Coons would win today, but all I'm saying is we can't get complacent about this one. The polls have changed really fast this year - usually in favor of tea party nutters.

Beet's 1st law of campaigns: When the numbers say A and the energy says B, A will move towards B.

All I'm saying is that Coons needs some actual energy behind him and not just 'oh, he's a shoo-in, let's laugh it up' to get the win that admittedly he probably can get.

You're missing the point...

[ajc0918]

Altschuler wins in NY-01

Grimm wins in NY-13

GOOD NEWS for NY-01

[cinyc]

PALADINO WON!

I don't understand this result.  The guy is slime.  looks like voters are just overthrowing the establishment and replacing them with random person x

Lazio barely ran a campaign, let alone a coherent one.  Paladino at least tried.  Lazio got what he deserved.  Plus, it's an Upstate/Downstate thing, with Upstate voting more heavily than usual, I suspect.

[Хahar 🤔]

PALADINO WON!

I don't understand this result.  The guy is slime.  looks like voters are just overthrowing the establishment and replacing them with random person x

Just like you wanted with Castle.

[Beet]

PALADINO WON!

I don't understand this result.  The guy is slime.  looks like voters are just overthrowing the establishment and replacing them with random person x

Bingo. This year is not Dem vs. GOP, it's optimism and satisfaction vs. fear and anger, and the latter are in the drivers' seat. That's what's so scary about it. Nothing positive is happening, see? No positive ideas are being endorsed. There's too much pessimism and negative energy - and I know it sounds strange coming from me.

[tpfkaw]

Moderates haven't led the GOP since the 1970's.

If someone today were to run on Ford's '76 platform, they would be denounced from all corners as a far-right Fascist teabagger.

[Torie]

Why is the turnout so pathetically low in New Hampshire?

[Sam Spade]

Why is the turnout so pathetically low in New Hampshire?

They haven't counted a third of the precincts yet.

[Beet]

Well it looks like Ehrlich will crush Brian Murphy, 75%-25%, in the GOP Gov primary here. That's good. I'm keeping an open mind about this race. It looks like Ehrlich's regional base is still making a difference for him.

[Meeker]

The AP results are lagging considerably for D.C.

Gray currently leads Fenty 56-42 according to the D.C. Board of Elections. I'm trying to determine how much is in/where it's from

[Torie]

Why is the turnout so pathetically low in New Hampshire?

They haven't counted a third of the precincts yet.

It still seems very low. Is this typical?

[Sewer]

Moderates haven't led the GOP since the 1970's.

If someone today were to run on Ford's '76 platform, they would be denounced from all corners as a far-right Fascist teabagger.

[Associate Justice PiT]

     41-38 Lamontagne now. Absolute vote lead down to 1,650 votes. 31.6% of precincts are in.

[Sam Spade]

Why is the turnout so pathetically low in New Hampshire?

They haven't counted a third of the precincts yet.

It still seems very low. Is this typical?

Numbers-wise, the Republicans will be close (little bit less) to the Sununu-Smith primary of 2002.  Dems will be right around the 2002 level too.

[Lunar]

schneiderman keeps gaining, 33-31

[Ronnie]

Thankfully, things seem to be tightening at a rapid rate in NH.  I suspect Ayotte will win in the end.

[Sam Spade]

Ayotte is performing decently in the middle-of-nowhere towns.  We'll see if it's enough.

[Smash255]

schneiderman keeps gaining, 33-31

Looks like Schneiderman is going to pull it off, but one thing to keep in mind

Precincts in

77% of Manhattan
82% of Brooklyn
26% of Nassau

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

PEDRO ESPADA LOST!!!

Sorry if this has already been said, but it makes me happy.

[Sam Spade]

schneiderman keeps gaining, 33-31

Looks like Schneiderman is going to pull it off, but one thing to keep in mind

Precincts in

77% of Manhattan
82% of Brooklyn
26% of Nassau

Not enough votes in Nassau, I suspect.

[cinyc]

Thankfully, things seem to be tightening at a rapid rate in NH.  I suspect Ayotte will win in the end.

At the rate New Hampshire is reporting, we won't know anything until tomorrow morning.  Damn, their sloooowww...

New map, with 101/301 in:



(Ayotte blue; Lamontagne green; some random guy who won Dixville by a vote red)

[Associate Justice PiT]

     NY-19 primary called for Nan Hayworth.

[Torie]

Should I even be a republican anymore?

It is a crazy year. Keep your powder dry. You know what I compare the Tea Party thing to?  Yes, the Perot thing. We had to endure that unfortunate human being, and his movement, and yes, even though the Tea Party makes Perot seems like a paradigm of sanity, they too, will fade away. Why? Because it is all rhetorical BS, with no real policy meaning because the nasty little policy choices about how to deal with medical subsidies, etc., etc., are just not on their radar screen. That is far too much work.  It is just emotional anger. How many of these people have really thought through any policy ideas?