2010 Primaries Thread (It's all over now, baby blue)

[homelycooking]

With 127/260 in:
Shumlin 7,682 (Yellow)
Markowitz 7,623 (Green)
Racine 7,538 (Red)

(Dunne is in blue; Bartlett in orange (he won Johnson town); Light Gray =tie; Dark Gray=Not Reporting; White=No polls in town)

Why does Enosburg have no poll?

Markowitz and Racine are Vermont's Democratic heavy-hitters, I think it would be shocking-and disastrous-if Shumlin wins. He's from the Democratic bastion of Windham County and doesn't have a statewide following. Racine and Markowitz do.

He's served as President pro-tempore and has run statewide before, what do you mean?

Markowitz has won six statewide elections, Racine has been lieutenant governor and ran for governor before, while, of the three, Shumlin seems the most provincial, despite his run for lieutenant governor.

Looks like the hapless Sue Bartlett did win one town: Johnson, by 1 vote over Shumlin.

Bartlett's a senator in that county (Lamoille), she might win Hyde Park, Cambridge Eden or Wolcott.

[cinyc]

It looks like Greene is doing well on the panhandle...

haha

Is he going to win all the counties which voted for Edwards in 2008?

There are very few blacks in the Panhandle.

Meek is leading in Escambia (Pensacola).  It's been a while for Florida maps:

Senate D (Meek yellow; Greene red):


Governor R (McCollum green; Scott red):

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Boyd is hanging on to a 51-49 margin. What's left is certainly not enough to threaten his lead.

[cinyc]

Why does Enosburg have no poll?

Because the AP has an h on the end of the name of the town and the names don't match when I sort.  I'll fix it - which will show up on the next map.

Good catch!

It hasn't reported yet.

[Dan the Roman]

Wow, PPP went out on a limb here and seems to have been right on the Governors race.

[??????????]

Hey guys, where are you finding the results? I've been scouring the internet for like 30 minutes and couldn't find any live results, just news articles. Help please.

http://enight.elections.myflorida.com/Default.aspx

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Markowitz up again, 13 votes over Shumlin.

[cinyc]

Wow, PPP went out on a limb here and seems to have been right on the Governors race.

I'm surprised the AP hasn't called it for Scott yet.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

McCollum is apparently conceding, so there's no reason for them not to at this point.

[??????????]

McCollum did good in some odd places. At least he won his home county (Hernando).

McCollum is apparently conceding, so there's no reason for them not to at this point.

Hopefully we never have to hear from that political loser ever again. He was actually a good AG though.

[Torie]

My glancing at the vote in the counties per the link here, suggests that Scott may beat McCollum by about 5 to 10 thousand votes, assuming the extrapolations replicate what went before, including the number of votes per precinct. But I think absentee votes are not counted as precincts so there is less vote there, which if true might push Scott's margin up to a much as 20 thousand.  So anyway, it might not be quite over.

Another thing is whether half the Cuban precincts are in in Dade, replicating the half for the county at large. That is where the bulk of the GOP voters live.

[rbt48]

I still think that Bartlett can pull this one out (VT Democratic governorship nomination).









:-)

[cinyc]

Vermont Gov D (170/260 in) - Markowitz +13 votes.  Same colors as before.


Vermont House R (170/260 in) - Beaudry (in blue) up by 2 points over Mitchell (in green).  Stern in red:

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Nothing from Arizona yet. Maybe an illegal immigrant stole the ballot boxes.

[Torie]

Oh a bunch more precincts came in, in Dade, and McCollum's margin there only went up by 1,000 votes. So I think it is over, and time to call it for Scott.

[cinyc]

Oh a bunch more precincts came in, in Dade, and McCollum's margin there only went up by 1,000 votes. So I think it is over, and time to call it for Scott.

I called it about an hour ago.  Miami-Dade's website has been ahead of the AP's and SoS.

[cinyc]

McCollum did good in some odd places. At least he won his home county (Hernando).

Eh - not really.  McCollum generally won the big cities plus Tallahassee and Gainesville, except for Jacksonville.  Scott won the rest.

[Torie]

Oh a bunch more precincts came in, in Dade, and McCollum's margin there only went up by 1,000 votes. So I think it is over, and time to call it for Scott.

I called it about an hour ago.  Miami-Dade's website has been ahead of the AP's and SoS.

Well at least we reacted the same way to the same data. I just got it an hour later.

[Torie]

McCollum did good in some odd places. At least he won his home county (Hernando).

Eh - not really.  McCollum generally won the big cities plus Tallahassee and Gainesville, except for Jacksonville.  Scott won the rest.

It is odd however that McCollum got trashed in Collier County (Naples).  Why were the well to do geezers down on McCollum I wonder?  Or is Scott from there?

[Sam Spade]

The Boyd-Lawson race is fascinating, but not necessarily for the usual reasons.

[cinyc]

McCollum did good in some odd places. At least he won his home county (Hernando).

Eh - not really.  McCollum generally won the big cities plus Tallahassee and Gainesville, except for Jacksonville.  Scott won the rest.

It is odd however that McCollum got trashed in Collier County (Naples).  Why were the well to do geezers down on McCollum I wonder?  Or is Scott from there?

Collier County is one of the most conservative in the state, up there with the Panhandle.  It voted for Scott and Greene - big time.  I'm not surprised at all.

Racine's back in the lead in Vermont, this time by 96.

[homelycooking]

Ties in VT:
Sutton M/R
Norton M/R
Waterville R/S
Berlin M/R
Waltham D/R
Middletown Springs D/R
West Rutland M/R
Ludlow D/M
Andover M/S
Jamaica M/S

Shumlin will get a big boost when his hometown of Putney comes in.

[Sam Spade]

McCollum did good in some odd places. At least he won his home county (Hernando).

Eh - not really.  McCollum generally won the big cities plus Tallahassee and Gainesville, except for Jacksonville.  Scott won the rest.

It is odd however that McCollum got trashed in Collier County (Naples).  Why were the well to do geezers down on McCollum I wonder?  Or is Scott from there?

Scott is from Naples.

[Torie]

GOP turnout in Florida is just swamping the Dem turnout, something like 1,250,000 GOP to 870,000 Dem. With more registered Dems, that is pretty shocking.

[Torie]

McCollum did good in some odd places. At least he won his home county (Hernando).

Eh - not really.  McCollum generally won the big cities plus Tallahassee and Gainesville, except for Jacksonville.  Scott won the rest.

It is odd however that McCollum got trashed in Collier County (Naples).  Why were the well to do geezers down on McCollum I wonder?  Or is Scott from there?

Scott is from Naples.

Well that explains that. That was the only real "oddity" that I noticed.