NY: Rasmussen: Sen. Gillibrand comfortably ahead of DioGuardi

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: New York Senator (Special) by Rasmussen on 2010-06-16

Summary: D: 49%, R: 38%, I: 2%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Duke 🇺🇸]

This was one the NY GOP had a chance at making interesting if they could have fielded the right candidate. Of course, this is the NY GOP we're talking about.

[Eraserhead]

I don't think anybody else has it even this close.

[SvenssonRS]

I don't think anybody else has it even this close.

Just say that 12% who are still undecided will break for Gillibrand.

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

This was one the NY GOP had a chance at making interesting if they could have fielded the right candidate. Of course, this is the NY GOP we're talking about.

Yes, but any Republican that could have beaten Gillibrand would likely have been even worse than Gillibrand.

The bigger corporate whore/ warmonger always wins in New York.

[cinyc]

I don't think anybody else has it even this close.

Nobody else is polling likely voters this far out. 

Siena has Gilibrand up by 18, which isn't that far off from Gilibrand +11 after the margins of error are taken into account.   The difference is not in Gilibrand's support (high 40s to 50 in both polls) but in DioGuardi and the other Republicans (polling in the 30s instead of high 20s).  Part of that may be due to fewer undecideds in Rasmussen's polling.

Gilibrand is down 2 and DioGuardi up 10 from Rasmussen's May polling.  Blakeman (net +8) and Malpass (net +4) had less of a swing.  5-7 points of that swing come from fewer people choosing "some other candidate".

Siena's trend from mid-May was net DioGuardi +8 - so Rasmussen and Siena aren't that far off.