closest state?
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Author Topic: closest state?  (Read 6900 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: October 31, 2004, 02:06:56 PM »
which state(s) will be the closest? (NOTE:  that doesnt mean that the closest state will be the deciding state)

i say wisconsin and minnesota.  both of those could literally come down to a few hundred votes.  i also think new hampshire will be super-close.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2004, 02:15:43 PM »
Right now, Wisconsin.  I might change this prediction, though.
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Horus
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2004, 02:19:12 PM »
Wisconsin. It will probably be just as cloes as last time.
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2004, 02:19:56 PM »
I would not be too suprised to see this one be decided by less than 15,000 votes; if 7,501 voters were to shift, the EV results would change.
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Rococo4
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2004, 02:23:46 PM »
Iowa
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2004, 02:24:47 PM »
Minnesota
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nini2287
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2004, 02:25:58 PM »
Wisconsin; <1000 votes
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2004, 02:29:00 PM »
Mississippi. Hell, £5 depends on it!

Er...

Ok...

Be serious now...

MinneWiscIowa
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Platypus
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2004, 02:35:44 PM »
Iowa-Wisconsin-New Mexico.
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Firefly
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2004, 02:39:03 PM »
New Mexico, the closest state in 2000, will be the closest state in 2004.
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Bob Dole '96
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2004, 03:28:59 PM »
New jersey...
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AuH2O
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2004, 03:36:55 PM »
In total votes, New Hampshire.

As a %... Minnesota.
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George W. Bush
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2004, 03:38:38 PM »
New Mexico and New Hamshire. Less than 500 Votes.
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Alcon
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« Reply #13 on: October 31, 2004, 03:39:59 PM »
Minnesota.

Polls there are totally tied. Same-day registration could change things, but I think it will be within a percentage point, if not less.
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Hearnes
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« Reply #14 on: October 31, 2004, 03:46:00 PM »
Ohio, Iowa and Florida i that order
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Citizen James
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2004, 03:51:29 PM »
I'm going to be a tad contrarian here and say Virginia.  I think the turnout in the NoVa suburbs is going to be suprisingly heavy and trending Kerry.
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Erc
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2004, 04:34:35 PM »
New Hampshire.
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Giant Saguaro
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2004, 04:39:32 PM »
MN might be decided by a few hundred votes. MN, OH, and WI are closest, I think. OH might be up in the air, though, because aside from the newspaper poll which puts it at 50-50, the latest polls have indicated Bush has a lead there. But I know for a fact that MN and WI are damn close, and I feel better and better about Bush's chances in MN.
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IowaLibert
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2004, 04:48:05 PM »
Margin as a %-age of the total vote, I'm going to say that Florida repeats in this category.

Margin of actual votes.... man....  I'm going to guess that my own Iowa takes that prize this year.
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Huckleberry Finn
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2004, 04:49:40 PM »
1. Wisconsin 0,02 Kerry
2. Iowa 0,1 Bush
3. Ohio 0,2 Kerry  
5. New Mexico 0,4 Bush
6. Florida 0,4 Bush    
6. New Hampshire 0,7 Kerry

Recounting will continue until January....
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lidaker
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2004, 05:20:57 PM »
Quote from: Hearnes on October 31, 2004, 03:46:00 PM
Ohio, Iowa and Florida i that order

Nice to see that avatar!

I'd say Minnesota and Ohio. I'm still not sure about New Hampshire and Wisconsin, but I guess it could be close there too.
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freedomburns
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« Reply #21 on: October 31, 2004, 05:49:21 PM »
New Mexico will be the closest this year.  I am with firefly on this one.

And welcome to the forum firefly!


fb
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Huckleberry Finn
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« Reply #22 on: October 31, 2004, 05:50:24 PM »
I thought that he was Gustaf! Strange...there is a huge gap 5 and 10881 posts.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #23 on: October 31, 2004, 05:57:01 PM »
nobody mentioned nevada?  it may be the sleeper state.
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ian
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« Reply #24 on: October 31, 2004, 11:38:34 PM »
I am going to have to say Florida again.  Then New Mexico.  Then Arkansas?
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