AZ-R2K/Kos: Latinos aren't too thrilled with the direction of the AZ GOP

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/5/5/AZ/490

GOP primary (3/29-31 results in parentheses)

John McCain (R) 48 (52)
J.D. Hayworth (R) 36 (37)

Senate (3/29-31 results in parentheses)

John McCain (R) 48 (52)
Rodney Glassman (D) 35 (33)

J.D.  Hayworth (R) 43 (48)
Rodney Glassman (D) 42 (37)

Interestingly, from the crosstabs, McCain is winning only 10% of Hispanics (Hayworth gets 6%). In 2004, McCain won 74% of Hispanics and 40% in Arizona in the 2008 presidential race.

And of course a Hayworth primary win continues to potentially turn this into a Democratic pickup.

[Rowan]

Yeah, McCain is only at 10% of Hispanics. Joke poll.

[Badger]

Yeah, McCain is only at 10% of Hispanics. Joke poll.

Even now that sounds a little low, but given the current political climate in AZ are those numbers really at "joke poll" status?

[Rowan]

Yeah, McCain is only at 10% of Hispanics. Joke poll.

Even now that sounds a little low, but given the current political climate in AZ are those numbers really at "joke poll" status?

The fact that it's a Kos poll in and of itself reduces it to that.

[Lunar]

I think a Hayworth win would blow everything up and it'd be a tossup until the dust settled.

McCain and Arlen Specter are up there with the most disturbingly changed politicians in the last four years.  McCain denying he is a "maverick" (for no real reason, actually) and backing immigration policies that are in complete opposition of his decades of work on the subject is just insane.

Although Joe Lieberman may backstab, lie, and flipflop on multiple issues, at least he doesn't change his overall brand.

[Torie]

The undecideds are really high, including 32% of the Hispanics. That typically causes me pause in a poll. But it could be that previous McCain Hispanic voters tend in large numbers to be ambivalent this time.