UK Election - Results Thread

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Very close result in my constituency, Bolton West:

Name     Party     Votes     %     +/-
Julie Hilling    Labour    18,327    38.5    -6.8
Susan Williams    Conservative    18,235    38.3    +4.9
Jackie Pearcey    Liberal Democrat    8,177    17.2    -1.8
Harry Lamb    UK Independence Party    1,901    4.0    +2.6
Rachel Mann    Green    545    1.1    +1.1
Jimmy Jones    Independent    254    0.5    +0.5
Doug Bagnall    You Party    137    0.3    +0.3
Majority    92    0.2    
Turnout    47,576    66.8    +5.5

There can't be many seats closer than that.

Good news for me is I'm currently winning the election prediction competition I entered - 523/581 called correctly so far, three more than William Hill!

[Lief 🗽]

Fermanagh and South Tyrone has been in recounts for hours. Apparently 8 votes separate the two candidates.

[cinyc]

This is the only seat out in the East Midlands:

#  04:19

A BBC freelancer at the Amber Valley count reports that there is to be a recount, with the Tories thought to be 600 votes ahead of Labour. Were they to take the seat it would ammount to a major win for the Conservatives.


One constituency in Yorkshire & The Humber, Thirsk & Malton, isn't holding its election until May 27 due to the death of a candidate.  It's usually a Tory stronghold.  That would put a majority down to 325 for the time being, no?

[2952-0-0]

The BBC people must be killing themselves now.

[Meeker]

LD gains Bradford East. Like I said: bizarre

[Marokai Backbeat]

LD gains Bradford East. Like I said: bizarre

And another gain in Solihull.

[Lief 🗽]

Recount in Hampstead (where I used to live!) between Labour and Tory. LibDem's had hoped to gain this seat, but apparently that's not in the cards.

[cinyc]

LD gains Bradford East. Like I said: bizarre

And another gain in Solihull.

Which, bizarrely, isn't a real gain because the Lib Dem was already representing the constituency before the boundaries were withdrawn.

Weird system they have there across the pond - a hold is a gain.

[Volrath50]

Blarg. Neither Bethnel Green and Bow, nor Galloway's new seat have declared. I really dislike that man, and would enjoy seeing RESPECT go down in flames.

[Meeker]

LD gains Bradford East. Like I said: bizarre

And another gain in Solihull.

And that one's from the Tories. Excellent.

[Јas]

Fermanagh and South Tyrone has been in recounts for hours. Apparently 8 votes separate the two candidates.

No. There have been 2 recounts, the latter has Gildernew ahead by 2 votes.
A 3rd recount will begin later this morning.
(See NI thread)

[Lief 🗽]

Fermanagh and South Tyrone has been in recounts for hours. Apparently 8 votes separate the two candidates.

No. There have been 2 recounts, the latter has Gildernew ahead by 2 votes.
A 3rd recount will begin later this morning.
(See NI thread)

Two votes!

[The Man From G.O.P.]

The BBC people must be killing themselves now.

David Dimbleby was tired at 10 pm last night. Poor guy, seemed to catch a 2nd win an hour or two ago. This is seriously cramping Paxman's style now.

[cinyc]

Fermanagh and South Tyrone has been in recounts for hours. Apparently 8 votes separate the two candidates.

No. There have been 2 recounts, the latter has Gildernew ahead by 2 votes.
A 3rd recount will begin later this morning.
(See NI thread)

Two votes!

I'd prefer it to be 1 vote, wouldn't you?  My vote still wouldn't have counted.

[cinyc]

As expected, the Tories took Truro & Falmouth from the Lib Dems.  3 seats are out in the South West.  My best guess is they will fall 2-1 Tory.  1-1 is almost certain, given past voting patterns.  Cheltanham is the wildcard - supposedly number 8 on the Tory list, but Lib Dem seats have irregularly moved to/from the Tories, so who knows?

[Lief 🗽]

The BBC people must be killing themselves now.

David Dimbleby was tired at 10 pm last night. Poor guy, seemed to catch a 2nd win an hour or two ago. This is seriously cramping Paxman's style now.

Dimbleby looks like he's falling asleep.

[Boris]

yeah, they really should let the poor guy go home and get some sleep.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I'm back!  So - what's the general concensus?  Can the Tories win 41 more seats?

[J. J.]

If the Cons don't get a majority, are there going to be enough seats for the Labour and LD together to form a coalition with a majority?

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

If the Cons don't get a majority, are there going to be enough seats for the Labour and LD together to form a coalition with a majority?

As of now, there are, but I'm sure some of those are going to go for the Conservatives.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

[Speculation alert]

My competition entry calls only 15 of the 53 seats that haven't declared yet for the Tories.  Unusually, most of the seats still to declare are in London rather than the deeply rural areas.

For what it's worth my calls on the remaining 53 seats produce a House of Commons of C 300 (+ Thirsk and Malton) Lab 263 LD 58 DUP 8 SNP 6 SF 5 SDLP 3 PC 3 APNI 1 Grn 1 Hermon 1.

[The Man From G.O.P.]

[Speculation alert]

My competition entry calls only 15 of the 53 seats that haven't declared yet for the Tories.  Unusually, most of the seats still to declare are in London rather than the deeply rural areas.

For what it's worth my calls on the remaining 53 seats produce a House of Commons of C 300 (+ Thirsk and Malton) Lab 263 LD 58 DUP 8 SNP 6 SF 5 SDLP 3 PC 3 APNI 1 Grn 1 Hermon 1.

I was beggining to think to myself that 300 was suddenly seeming close to the ceiling... interesting. Lab-Lib pact coming back into focus a bit...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

So, yeah. Watched the election on the telly. Bad result, but not as bad as I'd been dreading/expecting. My internet seems to be back now. For now... welll... I'm very happy that Albert Owen held on.

[Boris]

It seems to me that it's in Labour's best interest not to form a coalition and just let David Cameron form a minority government. It's obvious everyone in the UK basically hates Labour and their unpopularity is only going to worsen under such a coalition. Better just to let Cameron take power, start blaming him for everything that goes wrong, and put yourself in a position to gain seats in the next general election. Which will probably be within two years anyway. It's difficult to envision Labour gaining seats in the next election if they're still in power.

[Dan the Roman]

It seems to me that it's in Labour's best interest not to form a coalition and just let David Cameron form a minority government. It's obvious everyone in the UK basically hates Labour and their unpopularity is only going to worsen under such a coalition. Better just to let Cameron take power, start blaming him for everything that goes wrong, and put yourself in a position to gain seats in the next general election. Which will probably be within two years anyway. It's difficult to envision Labour gaining seats in the next election if they're still in power.

Almost certainly the case, but the question is whether this is in Brown's interests. Brown has the ability to hang on now, especially with his enemies like Charles Clarke gone, and the only reason to go is to hand the party over to the Blairites. He will try to stay on. The question is whether his concessions will provoke a rebellion from those who would prefer to be in opposition anyway, and whether they can do anything about it.