UK Election - Results Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 03:28:23 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  UK Election - Results Thread		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 11 12 13 14 15 [16] 17 18 19 20 21 ... 51
Author Topic: UK Election - Results Thread  (Read 82576 times)
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,394
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #375 on: May 06, 2010, 07:16:25 PM »
Thing is the Tories already hold Putney...
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #376 on: May 06, 2010, 07:16:37 PM »
Landslide for Sylvia! YAY!
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #377 on: May 06, 2010, 07:16:47 PM »
Huge FAIL by the UCU-NF in North Down.
Logged
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #378 on: May 06, 2010, 07:17:16 PM »
North Down - Independent gains seat from UCU.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #379 on: May 06, 2010, 07:17:45 PM »
Tories looking glum in Wallasey apparently. One of their north-west wildcards.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,018


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #380 on: May 06, 2010, 07:17:53 PM »
FWIW, Tory majority is up 26 to 65 on Intrade.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,394
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #381 on: May 06, 2010, 07:18:48 PM »
Above average swing in the North-East, but most of those seats are safe Labour.
Logged
Franzl
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,254
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #382 on: May 06, 2010, 07:19:14 PM »
Seems a little too early to call....but I'm optimistic about our chances for a Tory majority here!
Logged
cinyc
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,720


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #383 on: May 06, 2010, 07:19:30 PM »
Quote from: XPostFactor99 on May 06, 2010, 07:16:02 PM
Quote from: cinyc on May 06, 2010, 07:07:52 PM
It's not the exit polls.  It's the swing model that's broken.  Nate Silver is probably right about this election.

Haven't had time to follow what he was saying about this election - something about swings not being universal?

Yeah.  He has an advanced swingometer, taking into account swings from ALL parties to ALL parties, which suggests the Tories will end up with a majority of 341 seats, based on the extrapolated exit poll numbers.   Time will tell if he's right.
Logged
bullmoose88
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,515


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #384 on: May 06, 2010, 07:19:37 PM »
8.4% Lab to Con swing in the Northeast thus far, 6.7 Lab to LD swing in the same region.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #385 on: May 06, 2010, 07:19:58 PM »
Ynsy Mon, Lab hold. (I'm shocked)
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,394
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #386 on: May 06, 2010, 07:20:27 PM »
Labour hold Sedgefield.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #387 on: May 06, 2010, 07:20:36 PM »
« Edited: May 06, 2010, 07:22:30 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
The map on the BBC's website really shouldn't use white for independents...

Edit: never mind, they changed it.
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,411
Colombia


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #388 on: May 06, 2010, 07:20:46 PM »

Tories up 11% there.
Logged
Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever
andrewteale
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 653
Romania


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #389 on: May 06, 2010, 07:20:57 PM »

I'm not.  This seat only changes hands when the MP stands down.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,394
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #390 on: May 06, 2010, 07:22:16 PM »
Still not enough marginals in for me to call this.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #391 on: May 06, 2010, 07:22:25 PM »

No numbers yet, wonder what it'll be with Blair gone.
Logged
KuntaKinte
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 523
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #392 on: May 06, 2010, 07:23:29 PM »

Interesting how different the swing in Scotland (from what we know until now) is from the swing in Enland.
Logged
Meeker
meekermariner
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #393 on: May 06, 2010, 07:23:36 PM »
I'll point out again that the BNP is doing quite well... they held their deposit in Sedgefield
Logged
bullmoose88
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,515


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #394 on: May 06, 2010, 07:24:02 PM »
I'm just astonished theres such a big swing in the Northeast so far to the Tories.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #395 on: May 06, 2010, 07:24:06 PM »
Labour hold Vale of Clywd
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,394
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #396 on: May 06, 2010, 07:24:29 PM »
Labour have yet to win an English seat south of Liverpool.
Logged
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #397 on: May 06, 2010, 07:25:00 PM »
Vale of Clwyd:

Labour Hold, shift of 3.6% to the Conservatives.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,394
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #398 on: May 06, 2010, 07:25:28 PM »
Swing to Labour in Rutherglen.
Logged
Hash
Hashemite
Moderator
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,411
Colombia


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #399 on: May 06, 2010, 07:25:37 PM »
11.6% swing to Tories in Blair's former seat.


Quite bad for Tories Smiley
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 11 12 13 14 15 [16] 17 18 19 20 21 ... 51  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 10 queries.