UK Election - Results Thread

[The Man From G.O.P.]

Everyone see the LD agent punch the air when he peeked over the returning officer's shoulder and saw the Labour candidate had won? Jerkoff.

[Meeker]

BNP doing very well in these seats...

[SPQR]

5% swing in Sunderland Central.

[Lief 🗽]

No significant change in the LibDem vote in these three seats.

[The Man From G.O.P.]

Lib Dems in electoral doo doo at the moment

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Thanks for the links guys. If only this election wasn't scheduled for the day before my AP US History test.

Remember, Rachel Carson's 1962 Silent Spring book set off the environmental movement. I got that question wrong on 3 straight practice tests AND it was on my actual test.

The only thing I'm having trouble with are the supreme court cases, cultural stuff and idiotic questions. Oh well, it shouldn't be too difficult.

British election coverage seem to be much better than American coverage.

I have the AP European exam tomorrow.

[Phony Moderate]

First slice of good news for Labour so far tonight.

[cinyc]

How does one concoct "notional" results to calculate swings in seats with new boundaries without individual polling place results from the last election?  Anyone know?

I don't know, but could think of a few ways - one just straight-line based on the populations in from a new constituency and those put out.  Or some sort of regression analysis based on the sociodemographic factors in the areas in and out.

Precinct-level data would be best, but it could be done.

[War on Want]

Some of these people being interviewed are even more prickish than the GOP pundits on American TV...

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

From the BBC:

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[Kaine for Senate '18]

I have the AP European exam tomorrow.

Me too

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

BBC exit poll saying hung parliament

Conservatives - 307
Labor - 255
LD - 59
Others - 29

OMG! Hung parliament! Hung parliament!

Hehe, I have hung parliament all the time in my country and that's always pretty interesting

Lib Dems in electoral doo doo at the moment

Suck it Howard Dean.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

How does one concoct "notional" results to calculate swings in seats with new boundaries without individual polling place results from the last election?  Anyone know?

I don't know, but could think of a few ways - one just straight-line based on the populations in from a new constituency and those put out.  Or some sort of regression analysis based on the sociodemographic factors in the areas in and out.

Precinct-level data would be best, but it could be done.

Basically they look at the results of local/municipal elections (which are very much on party lines in the UK) and extrapolate from there.

[Hash]

There ought to be an inquiry! This is a disgrace!

Oh angry British men.

They'd never have this in Canada since nobody cares to vote anymore.

Canadian turnout in recent elections has been near the historic average since 1935.

Turnout in 2008 was the lowest ever.

[afleitch]

Urgh...Nick Griffin

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

From the BBC:

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[Torie]

How does one concoct "notional" results to calculate swings in seats with new boundaries without individual polling place results from the last election?  Anyone know?

I don't know, but could think of a few ways - one just straight-line based on the populations in from a new constituency and those put out.  Or some sort of regression analysis based on the sociodemographic factors in the areas in and out.

Precinct-level data would be best, but it could be done.

Reasonable, but it will have a higher degree of error obviously, unless the analysis is very sophisticated, with very careful demographic data, and inferential modeling based on past results, all of which I doubt in fact was done, because it would be very expensive to generate such data, and then adjust it for interim demographic shifts, and the UK is more demographically active these days then it has been in the past.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

So far, all that is in are three safe Labour seats where people could cast a protest vote against Brown secure in the knowledge that it wouldn't matter.  If I were a Tory, I'd wait to see how some marginal seats perform before doing any victory dances.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

So far, all that is in are three safe Labour seats where people could cast a protest vote against Brown secure in the knowledge that it wouldn't matter.  If I were a Tory, I'd wait to see how some marginal seats perform before doing any victory dances.

I don't think they're doing victory dances.  So far, they aren't expected to reach a majority - and a hung parliament isn't really cause for a victory dance.

[Јas]

Sky is reporting that some Sheffield voters have refused to let a ballot box out of building.

[Hash]

This whole ballot box-voting after 10PM is shaping up to be a big sham. Reminds me of Scottish counting in 2007.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Furure Labour leader being asked about future Labour leader

[Sewer]

Sky is reporting that some Sheffield voters have refused to let a ballot box out of building.

lol cool

[KuntaKinte]

Has it always taken so long to get a significant number of results in?

[Torie]

So far, all that is in are three safe Labour seats where people could cast a protest vote against Brown secure in the knowledge that it wouldn't matter.  If I were a Tory, I'd wait to see how some marginal seats perform before doing any victory dances.

It is just so boring to say something so sensible. Can't you reach a bit more?