UK Election - Results Thread

[Filuwaúrdjan]

but bag the old Enoch Powell Wolverhampton seat from Labor in a big upset.

Not an upset. Absolutely not an upset.

[Meeker]

I'm hoping in the coming days someone can provide a logical explanation for the schizophrenic LibDem swings.

[Silent Hunter]

Labour appears to have got 29% of the vote. That's better than most of the polls...

[afleitch]

BBC Breaking - Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg says he sticks to his view that the party with most votes and seats - the Conservatives - should seek to form a government.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I'm sad that no one mentioned the Newcastle results. I was looking for an excuse to write 'the Fog on the Tyne is mine all mine, the Fog on the Tyne is all mine...' but, alas.

I'm hoping in the coming days someone can provide a logical explanation for the schizophrenic LibDem swings.

This explains everything.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Labour appears to have got 29% of the vote. That's better than most of the polls...

A small shy-Labour effect maybe.

This might be the most intresting election results that I've actually been following. 

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Gawd, the BBC coverage was annoying and I switched channels whenever they had 'celebrities' on.

I have nothing really to say of interest, I'm just waiting of Al's big post explaining how every single result is explainable via class (to which I see he has already done an intro).

[Јas]

Warwick & Leamington Result

White (Con) 20,876
Plaskitt (Lab) 17,363
Beddow (LD) 8,977

Con GAIN from Lab

[Robespierre's Jaw]

What's caused backlash against the Lib-Dems? Sure I never believed the Cleggmania hype but surely they were in a position to gain seats rather than lose them. I mean if Charles Kennedy can gain them seats, surely Clegg could too. Or does the fact that he's a liberal Southerner have anything to do with it?

[afleitch]

Always a sideshow but great to see the 'Christian' Party and it's ilk barely registering...yet again.

Interesting exchange between Paxman and Boris

Boris: “I think if our new government is to be a Wall’s sausage, the meat of that sausage should be Conservatism. Of course there will be plenty of other bits and pieces in there like bread and what have you, but the meat should be the Conservatives.”

Paxman: “Will it be a chipolata or Cumberland sausage?”

Boris: “Enough of this gastronomic metaphor, I have tired of it.”

Paxman: “But you started it!”

[Silent Hunter]

Always a sideshow but great to see the 'Christian' Party and it's ilk barely registering...yet again.

They had a big ad presence in my area.

[Јas]

Bethnal Green and Bow Result

Rushanara Ali (Lab) 21,784
Ajmal Masroor (LDem) 10,210
Abjol Miah (Respect) 8,532
Zakir Khan (Con) 7,071
...
Alexander van Terheyden (Pirate) 213

Labour GAIN from Respect

Respect vote down 20pts
14.1% swing to Lab

[Silent Hunter]

Ouch for Respect.

[J. J.]

25 seats out (one not contested, however)

Cons. 294

Lab.  252

LibDems. 52

L/LD:  304

Lab/LibDems would need to hold all 22 for a majority (without the other parties).  Are their 4 Conservative seats still out?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

What exactly is this Labour and Co-operative deal?

The Co-operative Party are a group of self-important lefties who endorse some Labour candidates who grovel a lot. They're totally irrelevant these days.

Oh so the UK has their own version of NY's Working Families Party?

It's kind of annoying because the Telegraph's map that I'm looking at colors those seats in gray for "other parties" instead of red for Labour.

I guess. I think they have much less influence than the WFP, which does have clout in some elections. They're more comparable to the United Citizens Party, or whatever it's called, in South Carolina, in terms of sheer irrelevance. (Al might correct me here, but I think it's safe to say that the Co-op label means almost nothing these days.)

The UCP is completely irrelevant these days.  It came into being for the sole purpose of running black Democratic candidates in black majority districts back in the days when the local Democratic establishment was still trying to cling to a whites-only mentality.  By the way, thanks to the fact that SC permits fusion voting, we have our own little copy of the WFP down here as well.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Harriet Harman's hubby is apperently as intelligent as she is

[Јas]

Norwich North Result

Smith (Con) 17,280
Cook (Lab) 13,379

Con GAIN from Lab on 12.9% swing

[k-onmmunist]

Harriet Harman's hubby is apperently as intelligent as she is

Indeed

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

At this point, the only way the UK doesn't have a snap election later this year (or early next year at the latest) is if the Tories enter into a coalition with either Labour or the LibDems.  No other combinations will be stable enough to survive.

I don't see either combo as being likely tho.  Maybe a grand coalition of all three for the stake of stability with a predetermined election date in a year or two, but that looks like fantasy too.

[k-onmmunist]

I'm praying that any election won't be this year. Or until March next year. I want to vote.

Also, it's been discovered a 14 year old boy somehow managed to vote in Wyre and Preston North

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Woke up again.

Currently C 298 Lab 253 LD 54 Oth 27.

The 18 seats still to declare:
Amber Valley: Locked in recounts between Lab and C.  My competition entry: Lab
Blyth Valley: Safe Lab.
Broadland: Safe C.
Buckingham: Bercow should be re-elected.
Cheltenham: LD/C marginal.  Call: LD
Devon W/Torridge: C/LD marginal.  Call: C
Dudley N: Lab/C marginal.  Call: C
Fermanagh: Locked in recounts between SF and Ind U.  My competition entry: SF
Hackney N and S: both safe Lab.
Hexham: C/LD marginal.  Call: C
Lancaster and Morecambe: both Lab/C marginals.  Call: Lab
Penrith: safe C
St Ives: safe LD
Thirsk: postponed
Wansbeck: safe Lab
Westmorland: LD/C marginal.  Call: LD

Overall this gives a range of possible results of C 301-309 plus Thirsk, Lab 257-261, LD 55-59, SF 4-5, with my call being C 304 Lab 260 LD 57.

[yougo1000]

Brown is to speak soon.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Woke up again.

Currently C 298 Lab 253 LD 54 Oth 27.

The 18 seats still to declare:
Amber Valley: Locked in recounts between Lab and C.  My competition entry: Lab
Blyth Valley: Safe Lab.
Broadland: Safe C.
Buckingham: Bercow should be re-elected.
Cheltenham: LD/C marginal.  Call: LD
Devon W/Torridge: C/LD marginal.  Call: C
Dudley N: Lab/C marginal.  Call: C
Fermanagh: Locked in recounts between SF and Ind U.  My competition entry: SF
Hackney N and S: both safe Lab.
Hexham: C/LD marginal.  Call: C
Lancaster and Morecambe: both Lab/C marginals.  Call: Lab
Penrith: safe C
St Ives: safe LD
Thirsk: postponed
Wansbeck: safe Lab
Westmorland: LD/C marginal.  Call: LD

Overall this gives a range of possible results of C 301-309 plus Thirsk, Lab 257-261, LD 55-59, SF 4-5, with my call being C 304 Lab 260 LD 57.

BBC projection is C 307 Lab 258 LD 56, so presumably they have the Tories gaining from Lab two of Amber Valley, Lancaster and Morecambe (which is reasonable) and either Cheltenham or Westmorland from the LD (which I'm not so sure about).

[Silent Hunter]

Brown is basically saying that he's staying pending the outcome of Cameron-Clegg talks.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

Bercow has been easily re-elected in Buckingham.  Farage came third behind former Tory MEP John Stevens.

[resists temptation to make joke involving the word "tailspin"]