WA: Elway poll: Murray blowsaway Rossi

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

http://www.scribd.com/doc/30944176/Elway-PollonMurrayre-elect050510-1#fullscreen:on
D:51-R:34

[cinyc]

Who? John Elway's polling Washington now?

This was a registration-based sample.  The 51%-34% figure assumes 100% turnout of all registered voters polled.  That's never going to happen.    If the turnout is a uniform 60% - those who voted in 3 of the last 4 elections, Murray's lead is 10.  If turnout is a uniform 40% - just perfect voters who voted in 4 of the last 4 elections, Murray's lead is down to 9.  It doesn't take into account which of the 20% are more likely to vote in the election.

[bgwah]

Wow, Rossi +10 and now Murray +17?

lolz, lots of garbage polling for WA lately. Though if you combine the two and say Murray +7, that doesn't sound too ridiculous.