ADP: Private Employment increased in April
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  ADP: Private Employment increased in April
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HoffmanJohn
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« on: May 05, 2010, 09:46:53 AM »

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/05/adp-private-employment-increased-in.html

Nonfarm private employment increased 32,000 from March to April 2010 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report. The estimated change in employment from February to March 2010 was revised up, from a decline of 23,000 to an increase of 19,000.

In addition, the revised estimate of the monthly change in employment from January to February 2010 shows a modest increase of 3,000. Thus, employment has increased for three straight months, albeit only modestly. The slow pace of improvement from February through April is consistent with the pause in the decline of initial unemployment claims that occurred during the winter months.
...
April’s ADP Report estimates nonfarm private employment in the service-providing sector rose by 50,000, the third consecutive monthly increase. Employment in the goods-producing sector declined 18,000 during April. However, while construction employment dropped 49,000, manufacturing employment, in an encouraging sign, rose 29,000, the third consecutive monthly increase.
Note: ADP is private nonfarm employment only (no government jobs).

This is close to the consensus forecast of an increase of 28,000 private sector jobs in April.

The BLS reports on Friday, and the consensus is for an increase of 200,000 payroll jobs in April, on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis, with about 100,000 temporary Census 2010 jobs.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2010, 07:52:50 AM »

So, do you think the unemployment rate will go down, stay the same as march, or increase?
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Free Trade is managed by the invisible hand.
HoffmanJohn
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« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2010, 08:59:39 AM »

So, do you think the unemployment rate will go down, stay the same as march, or increase?


it depends on what measure you want me to talk about. For example despite the increase the U3 measure still went up because more people are now looking for jobs.
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